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2011/10/28

What to do Now That Stocks are Running


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Friday October 28, 2011

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The Euro Deal is Done, Part II


Stocks are Running


The Case for Financials




Fellow Investor,

Talk about a relief rally. The S&P 500 put in its biggest move since 1974 after Europe announced several concrete steps to end the Greek debt crisis and protect the Euro-banks.

Of course, the plan has its flaws. Greece is allowed 50% default on bonds held by Euro-banks, but other investors will still be paid in full. In total, Greek's debt-to-GDP ration is reduced from 180% to 120% by this deal. That's a marked improvement, for sure, but it's not a cure-all.

Also, the EU is apparently picking up 30 billion euro of the default tab. It's not clear if that's a lump sum payment to Euro-banks. Nor is it clear exactly how the EFSF bailout fund will balloon to $940 euro ($1.4 trillion). It appears at least some of that will take the form of asset guarantees and insurance, reminiscent of TARP, but the details seem to be lacking.

All in all, it's great to have a deal in place. I expect I'm as relieved to be able to stop writing on this subject as you are to stop reading on it. But fair warning: there are still risks that something could de-rail the plan before it's fully implemented.

Now, after yesterday's impressive move higher, we should be examining how to play this rally. If you're fully invested, then you can simply ride it out and enjoy the capital gains that I expect are coming. Like Jason Cimpl's TradeMaster Daily Stocks Alerts readers who were told by him on October 4 to invest very aggressively bullish.

If you're not invested, or not invested enough, you should be looking to take advantage of the first sign of weakness to get positioned. There's a very good chance that the stock market has embarked on a breakaway bull run. That simply means that there won't be many opportunities to buy the dips, and that any dip will be shallow and short-lived.

We've seen this type of advance several times since the market bottomed in March of 2009. In fact, that rally out of the hole lasted over a year, and only offered one dip that was in the 10% range. The rally from July 2010 to May 2011 was a similar steady march higher...
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Previous Issues of Daily Profit



The Euro Deal is Done


Are Oil and Gold Anticipating QE3


Is the Housing Market Improving?

For more issues click here »



 


Market Snapshot

U.S. Markets - Oct 27 Close

Dow Jones

12,208.55

+340

(+2.86%)

S&P 500

1,284.59

+42.59

(+3.43%)

Nasdaq

2,738.63

+87.96

(+3.32%)

 
 


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