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2011/03/09

Two stocks you must buy before gas blows past $4 per gallon

Two Stocks You Must Buy
Before Gas Blows Past
$4 Per Gallon...

We're not talking about Chevron or Schlumberger... ConocoPhillips or Exxon Mobil. In fact, there's a good chance you've never even heard of these two companies.

Yet the services they provide are so crucial to the oil industry that their shares have shot up as much as 227% and 257% in the short time it has taken gas to climb just $1.50 per gallon.

And if experts are right, the crisis sweeping across the Middle East will send prices right through the roof -- meaning there could still be some big money yet to be made.

Read on to discover how you can start cashing in today...

March 9, 2011

Dear Fellow Investor,

What the financial media is saying about The Motley Fool:

"Solid information and advice for individual investors."
-- The Washington Post

"Even billionaires get ideas from
The Motley Fool."
-- Time

"Funny, smart, cynical, opinionated."
-- Fortune

"An ethical oasis."
-- The Economist

On July 12, 2010, I reached out to a select group of investors with a message nearly identical to the one you're reading right now...

Among other things, it revealed the full story behind two under-the-radar stocks I was convinced would shoot much higher in the coming months (I'll explain my full reasoning just ahead).

Of course, at the time, we were being inundated with pictures of oil-soaked pelicans and talk of offshore drilling moratoriums...

So, suffice it to say, most investors wanted absolutely nothing to do with the two oil-related stocks I was writing about -- and that's a real shame.

Because had you simply taken the time to hear me out and get all the facts, right now you could be up as much as 69% and 124% on those two investments -- in less than nine months.

But make no mistake. I'm not writing you today to brag or talk about what could have been...

I'm writing you because -- for the three reasons I've laid out below -- I'm more convinced than ever that...

You can make some serious money by investing in
these two little-known stocks right now

Exactly how much are we talking?

Well, when it comes to commodity-related investments like these, there are obviously no guarantees...

But I can tell you that, over the past two years, as gas prices have climbed roughly $1.50 per gallon (and oil has jumped $60 per barrel), these two stocks have soared as much as 227% and 257%...

Meaning had you invested just $2,500 in each, right now you'd be sitting on more than $17,000. Pretty impressive, to say the least. But just think...

A slightly more aggressive $7,500 in each could have turned into enough money to buy a new Lexus, or put a down payment on a vacation home in Maui, or send your kids to even the most expensive of schools, or you name it...

So you can imagine the kind of gains you can expect going forward if oil and gas prices continue to shoot through the roof, as experts and analysts from all over the world now expect them to.

Ripped from the headlines!

But you're right to wonder, how much further can prices really climb from here? And won't they just drop right back down once everything cools off in the Middle East?

Those very same questions crossed my mind when tensions first flared up in Libya last month, so I spent the past few weeks doing intensive research, talking to industry insiders, and running numbers in order to get some answers...

Over the next few minutes, I'll share everything I discovered with you -- even the shocking reason some in-the-know individuals say the U.S. government secretly wants oil and gas prices to soar...

I'll also lay bare my case for why you should snap up shares of the two stocks I'll tell you about today as soon as possible, starting with the simple fact that...

Oil and gas prices are headed higher --
no matter what happens in the Middle East

With everything that's been going on in the Middle East in recent weeks, it's easy to forget that oil and gas prices have actually been climbing steadily over the past two years as the economy has rebounded.

In fact, since early March 2009, crude oil has soared more than 115% -- and gas prices have climbed more than 80%.

Given that kind of trajectory, it's little wonder that energy expert Elliot Gue argues, "Crude oil prices would have surpassed $100 per barrel in the first quarter regardless of events in Egypt."

Nor is it any surprise he's predicting that, "Oil will reach $120 per barrel later this year regardless of political developments in northern Africa."

And he is by no means the only person of this opinion...

Gas Station Prices
Many analysts say gas will soar past $4 per gallon no matter what happens in the Middle East.

A recent article from Indie Research reports that long before the crisis in the Middle East even began, legendary oil mogul T. Boone Pickens, "predicted that oil will trade over $100 a barrel this year with prices averaging between $110 and $120, resulting in gasoline prices of $4 a gallon."

Meanwhile, a Wall Street Journal article entitled "The $100 Oil Panic" observes that when it comes to skyrocketing oil and gas prices, "there's much more at work than [just] turmoil in the Middle East."

Analysts from the Financial Post agree, pointing out that historically, wholesale gasoline prices increase 22.6% between the end of January and the end of April...

Which is why they are predicting prices at the pump will climb to at least $3.66 per gallon this spring -- no matter what happens in the Middle East.

And that only makes sense. After all, with the exception of the 2008-2009 financial crisis, demand for oil has been soaring consistently for decades as billions of people in places like China, India, and Brazil have begun to experience economic prosperity.

In fact, according to the International Energy Agency worldwide oil consumption soared from 70 million barrels per day in 1995 to nearly 88 million barrels per day in 2010.

That number is expected to jump another 1.4 million barrels by the end of 2011, which would make 2010-2011 the fastest two-year growth period in global oil demand in over three decades.

And as we saw with the extreme run-up in oil back in 2007, we simply don't have the supply to meet this kind of demand.

So, by now, I'm sure you're starting to understand why I believe that higher oil and gas prices are absolutely inevitable going forward...

This will end up costing all of us thousands,
BUT it could also make a few of us millions...

To understand how, let's step back for a minute and take a look at the economics of the situation...

When oil and gas prices are low -- and supply is plentiful -- it's simply not profitable for many big name oil companies to operate in certain places.

But as demand begins to soar -- as it now is thanks to the steady recovery of ultra-fast-growing economies like China, India, and Brazil -- and prices begin to spike, these same oil companies begin desperately scrambling to get their hands on as much oil as they possibly can.

And right there is your opportunity to make some big money!

You see, only a handful of highly specialized companies -- like the two I'm going to introduce you to today -- have the state-of-the-art technology, the specialized skills, and the artful know-how needed to tap the world's next great oil fields.

Offshore Oil Rig
According to the Financial Post, in 2011, the oil industry will spend $490 BILLION on companies that build, maintain, supply and operate equipment like this.

That's because these fields are located in some of the hardest-to-reach places on Earth -- hundreds of miles offshore and thousands of feet below the ocean's surface.

In other words, these two little-known companies are absolutely essential to the success of any big name oil company that wants to extract oil from these vast, ultra-profitable deposits.

So, I'm sure you can understand why the Financial Post says the niche industry they operate in is like, "the energy sector on steroids," and why their analysts say that "prospects for [this] industry are exceptional this year."

I'm sure you can also see why an analyst from Oppenheimer & Co. recently quipped that unconventional, specialized oil companies like these, "basically start printing money once oil is above $90 a barrel."

And given everything I've just told you, it should come as no surprise that the first of these companies -- a no-frills Texas-based outfit that's been perfecting its techniques for over four decades -- saw both its revenues and its earnings soar some 20% in the recently completed fourth quarter...

Nor that the second of these companies -- a worldwide leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of equipment used in oil and gas drilling that's been in business for nearly a century and a half -- has seen its new order revenue more than double over the past year.

Even so, you might be wondering if you wouldn't be better off just investing in a big-name oil company like Chevron or ExxonMobil. Which brings me to the second reason I believe every investor should snap up shares of these two companies right away...

They could soar higher and faster than almost any
big oil company out there today. Here's why...

You know, they don't call it "big oil" for nothing...

After all, Chevron is worth a cool $205 billion. Brazilian-based Petrobras weighs in at a whopping $250 billion. And ExxonMobil tips the scales at a gargantuan $425 billion.

Now, I'm not saying that big oil companies like these aren't decent investments in their own right -- especially given everything I've told you so far today.

But don't forget, a company the size of ExxonMobil would have to pack on nearly HALF A TRILLION dollars in market-cap just for its shares to double from here.

Meanwhile, if the first company I'm writing you about today were to gain just 1/50th that amount, your investment would quadruple in value.

So you see, the relatively small size of these two highly specialized companies is actually a huge advantage.

Especially considering they're both growing like wild fire... are trusted leaders in their respective fields... and have highly experienced, shareholder-friendly management teams.

Speaking of which, let me tell you a little more about these two companies, so you can decide for yourself whether or not you'll be front and center when the big money starts rolling in.

The services these companies provide are absolutely essential to the very functioning of our society...

Because, like it or not, without oil the world simply can't run.

But as I mentioned earlier, it's becoming increasingly difficult to find reliable sources of oil. And as Seeking Alpha's David White notes, the recent spike in oil prices has "lit a fire under deep sea development efforts."

Which is precisely why the first company I'm going to tell you about today is in such high demand right now -- and why you'll find it...

  • Charging big-name oil companies like Noble as much as $545,000 per day to drill wells in 5,000 feet of water off the coast of remote African nations like Ghana and Equatorial Guinea...
  • While also drilling in more easily-accessible places like the waters off Australia and Malaysia for clients like Chevron and Shell (jobs which each bring in more than $400,000 per day)...
  • And rapidly expanding its fleet -- including adding three more ultra-deepwater rigs (one of which will come online within months and is already under contract) -- giving it a major leg up on its competitor's aging and outdated fleets.

Plus, when you consider that the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports that oil pumped from deepwater fields will double between 2011 and 2015 and that capital spending will rise to $25 billion annually by 2012...

I think you'll begin to understand why this company's services will remain in high demand for years to come, and why its newly updated and completely state-of-the-art fleet will end up being a huge asset down the road.

Yet as well positioned as this company is to profit from the deepwater drilling boom we're about to experience, thanks to its small size, it's still flying well under Wall Street's radar.

In fact, its PE ratio currently sits at less than half that of its more well-known competitors like Transocean (meaning you can buy it much cheaper).

Combine that with the fact that this company is sitting on over $200 million in cash (which will allow it to continue to expand its fleet)... has an extremely healthy balance sheet... and has grown profits at an average compound rate of 50% per year over the past five years...

And I'm sure you'll be able to understand why I think it is in such a sweet spot to rack up major profits going forward.

But as intriguing an investment opportunity as this is, the second company I'm going to tell you about may be even more intriguing. That's because...

Without this company, drilling for oil would
be virtually impossible to begin with...

As I mentioned, for the past 149 years, this company has been a worldwide leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of equipment used in oil and gas drilling.

Today, it operates over 700 locations across six continents, and according to Morningstar, it currently controls some 60% of the oil rig equipment market.

Morningstar further estimates than 90% of all rigs worldwide use this company's products and services. Yet, as I mentioned earlier, there's a good chance you've never even heard this company's name.

But make no mistake, without the kind of services this company provides, big name oil companies like Chevron and ExxonMobil would not be able to function.

So it's little wonder that the Financial Post reports that the oil industry will spend a whopping $490 BILLION on these services this year -- an impressive 11% gain over 2010.

Of course, those projections were made prior to the crisis in the Middle East, so there's a good chance that figure could shoot even higher.

And given this company's long-standing reputation of ensuring safety and preventing disasters like the Gulf oil spill, I'm sure you can understand why Forbes recently named it one of the "World's Most Admired Companies"...

And you can bet its safety-enhancing services are going to be in high demand going forward now that oil companies are being forced to operate in an extremely liability-conscious environment.

Combine that with the fact that this company has an absolute stranglehold on one of the most important industries in the world... is run by a management team that speaks in terms of decades, not quarters... pays a decent dividend... and has a stellar balance sheet with over $3.3 BILLION in cash...

And I think you'll see why this is exactly the kind of stock you want to load up on before oil and gas prices shoot any higher.

Of course, I wouldn't want you to have to invest based solely on what I've had time to tell you here...

Instead, I'd like for you to get all the in-depth details on both of these companies -- including a full run-down of financial health, growth prospects, and possible risks -- so you'll have everything you need to get invested right away with 100% confidence.

Yours FREE!

Two Top Plays to Profit Off The Inevitable Oil Crisis of 2011

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And the very best way I know to do that is by sending you a premium research report that was released just this morning by the two investors who introduced me to these two incredible companies in the first place.

It's called "Two Top Plays to Profit Off the Inevitable Oil Crisis of 2011" and as a special "thank you" for taking the time to hear me out today, I'd like to send you a copy of this valuable report with my compliments and at no cost to you.

I'll explain how you can take me up on this unique, limited-time offer in just a moment, but first I'd like to tell you a little bit more about the two investors I just mentioned.

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You may be familiar with their eight best-selling investment books.

Or perhaps you were one of the tens of thousands of people who regularly listened to their long-running NPR radio show... or read their nationally syndicated newspaper column.

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I'm sure you can understand why anytime David and Tom Gardner get excited about the future of a company I immediately stand up and take notice.

And for the reasons I've outlined above, right now they are extremely excited about the future of the two companies I've been telling you about today.

But I still need to tell you about the final -- and somewhat shocking -- reason I believe these two investments could hand you the kind of astronomical returns I just showed you...

If the crisis in the Middle East spreads beyond Libya,
$4 gas may just be a drop in the bucket...

Granted, the uprisings in Egypt -- and more recently, Libya -- have certainly dominated the nightly news, and helped send oil and gas prices to two-and-a-half-year highs.

But, let's not forget, in the oil-producing world these two countries are relatively minor players. In fact, combined they produce little more than 2% of the world's oil supply.

Yet, thanks to the escalating violence in these countries, oil prices have soared more than 15% over just the past few weeks.

So just imagine what will happen if and when these violent revolutions spread to bigger players like Kuwait... Iran... or Saudi Arabia... a country which, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration produces 5.4 times more oil than Libya.

Ripped from the headlines!

Analysts at the investment bank Nomura paint an equally bleak picture, estimating that oil could easily hit $220 per barrel if just Algeria and Libya (the world's 16th and 18th largest oil producers, respectively) were to halt production.

And in a recent interview, Arnaud de Borchgrave, a 30-year veteran of Newsweek magazine and Middle East expert who has interviewed Muammar el-Qaddafi six times, stated that, "the increasingly volatile situation in the Middle East could push the price of oil quickly to $300 or even $400 a barrel."

As if that weren't alarming enough, a recent article from Newsmax reports that, "Economists have speculated that, if oil surged to $400, gasoline could hit $15 a gallon."

Of course, if you're anything like me, hypothetical situations and arbitrary numbers like those seem dubious, at best.

And, I'm sure you'll agree that before we run out willy-nilly and start stocking up on canned goods and ammunition, it's certainly worth asking:

Could any of this really ever happen? And even if it did, wouldn't the U.S. just step in and do something about it?

In an effort to find out, I recently started reading everything I could get my hands on, so that I could decide for myself...

What I discovered might really surprise you...

I know it certainly surprised me...

Take for instance, the fact that, in an absolutely eye-opening article in The Wall Street Journal, Karen Elliott House -- a Pulitzer Prize-winning reporter who has been exploring the inner workings of Saudi Arabia for over 30 years -- suggests that not only is a major uprising in the Saudi kingdom possible... it's practically inevitable.

Among other things, she notes that, "the average age of the kingdom's trio of ruling princes is 83, yet 60% of Saudis are under 18 years of age."

And furthermore that "thanks to satellite television, the Internet, and social media, the young now are well aware of government corruption."

She also points out that...

  • 40% of Saudis live below the poverty line
  • 70% can't afford a home
  • And a staggering 90% of private-sector employees are imported immigrants.

So it's little wonder that she says, "Saudis at all levels of society are becoming increasingly lawless."

And no surprise that she concludes, "Despite the conventional wisdom that Saudi Arabia is unique, [a revolution] can happen here."

Middle East Protests
According to many experts, bloody protests like this could spread to Iran or Saudi Arabia any day now.

Of course, many of Saudi's senior princes are now getting nervous about the explosive potential of the tinder box they're currently ruling -- including one in particular who told her, "It is a race against time, because the young are tired of the status quo, tired of talk."

But supposing we concede that a Saudi revolt is, in fact, possible, what we really need to consider is how the Saudi government will respond.

I mean, it might sound far-fetched, but given that Saudi Arabia's royal family now has nearly 7,000 princes -- many with opposing interests and conflicting agendas -- who's to say that if there is an uprising, some of them won't ultimately go the way of Muammar el-Qaddafi...

Who, as Time magazine recently reported, "ordered security services to start sabotaging oil facilities... blowing up oil pipelines... [and] cutting off flow to Mediterranean ports."

"In this most shrouded and supposedly most
stable of Arab societies, time is running out"

But, of course, if this were to actually happen in Saudi Arabia, you'd expect the U.S. to step in long before oil could shoot to $400 a barrel -- or gas prices could soar to $15 a gallon.

However, if the uprisings in Egypt and Libya are any indication, it looks like about all we can really expect is that our government will be somewhat hesitant and slow to react -- which actually may make perfect political sense...

After all, as another recent Wall Street Journal article points out, President Obama's larger energy agenda is such that he may want to "deliberately increase prices on fossil fuels so alternative energy sources become more competitive."

Now, I certainly don't mean to second-guess the President -- or his administration -- nor am I am suggesting that there is any sort of conspiracy going on...

Oil Field Fire
If gas prices soar to new highs, will it cost you a fortune...
or make you one? That all depends on how your position yourself right now.

But what I am suggesting is that you should position yourself in such a way that you can actually make some big money if and when revolutions spread to places like Iran or Saudi Arabia -- especially if the U.S. doesn't or can't intervene in time to keep oil from skyrocketing further.

Granted, I realize the picture I'm painting probably seems like something ripped directly out of the pages of a Tom Clancy novel...

But don't forget, catastrophes like Hurricane Katrina... the 9/11 terror attacks... or the even recent financial collapse always seem completely impossible... right up to the very minute they actually happen.

Or as Karen Elliott House puts it, "In any authoritarian regime, instability seems unthinkable up to the moment of upheaval."

Which is why I'm urging investors like you to build positions in the two stocks I've told you about today before it's too late.

But again, it would be a real mistake to invest based solely on what I've been able to tell you here.

Which is why, as I mentioned earlier, I'd like to send you a complimentary copy of "Two Top Plays to Profit Off The Inevitable Oil Crisis of 2011" right away.

Now, as you've probably already guessed, premium research reports like these are generally reserved for the paying members of David and Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Stock Advisor service.

But, as a special "thank you" for sticking with me today, I've arranged a way for you to get a complimentary copy of this timely and extremely valuable report right this minute.

Two Top Plays to Profit Off The Inevitable Oil Crisis of 2011

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Austin Edwards
Senior Investment Writer, The Motley Fool

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All scorecard figures as of February 18, 2011. Unless otherwise noted, all other figures as of February 28, 2011.

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