Nature Climate Change Contents: May 2016 Volume 6 Number 5 pp 431-538

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TABLE OF CONTENTS May 2016 Volume 6, Issue 5 Editorials Commentary Correction Features Research Highlights News and Views Perspective Reviews Letters Articles Corrigenda Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter   Advertisement The EuroScience Open Forum is Europe's largest general science meeting where leading minds come together to discuss the latest topics in the sciences, social sciences and humanities. This year it is taking place in Manchester, UK from 23-27 July. Discounted registration is open until 30 April with tickets starting at £95 for a full pass. Register to attend here!   Advertisement Nature Publishing Group offers a free open access funding support service to enable authors to discover and apply for article processing charge funding available to them. Visit our website for further advice on the funding options available, and guidance in approaching funders and institutions, or email openaccess@nature.com for more information.       Editorials Top Pursuing a post-Paris plan p431 doi:10.1038/nclimate3020 After the success of last December's climate negotiations, politicians and researchers are starting to eye a 'post-Paris' agenda. The devil is in the deep tail p431 doi:10.1038/nclimate3021 Economic research is starting to pay increasing attention to the social impacts of significant (if less likely) climatic events. Commentary Top Gaps in agricultural climate adaptation research pp433 - 435 Debra Davidson doi:10.1038/nclimate3007 The value of the social sciences to climate change research is well recognized, but notable gaps remain in the literature on adaptation in agriculture. Contributions focus on farmer behaviour, with important research regarding gender, social networks and institutions remaining under-represented. Correction Top Correction p435 doi:10.1038/nclimate2982 Features Top News feature: City limits pp437 - 438 Elisabeth Jeffries doi:10.1038/nclimate3003 Most city councils are still struggling to raise environmental standards for buildings. Snapshot: Snow white coral p439 Bronwyn Wake doi:10.1038/nclimate3009 Research Highlights Top Biodiversity: Stream temperature velocity | Methane emissions: Siberian Shelf estimates | Impacts: Weather experiences | Environmental sociology: Home base News and Views Top Energy modelling: Clean grids with current technology pp441 - 442 Mark Z. Jacobson doi:10.1038/nclimate2926 The need for new energy storage is often seen as an obstacle to integrating renewable electricity into national power systems. Modelling shows that existing technologies could provide significant emissions reductions in the US without the need for storage, however. See also: Article by Alexander E. MacDonald et al. Climate change economics: Reacting to multiple tipping points pp442 - 443 Frederick van der Ploeg doi:10.1038/nclimate2962 When setting carbon prices in a warming world, policymakers must be cognizant of the potential economic and environmental consequences of the risk of multiple, interrelated catastrophes. See also: Article by Yongyang Cai et al. Extreme precipitation: Increases all round pp443 - 444 William Ingram doi:10.1038/nclimate2966 Globally, extreme rainfall is expected to increase with warming, but regional changes over land have been less certain. Now research shows that this intense precipitation has increased across both the wetter and the drier parts of the continents, and will continue to do so as global warming continues. See also: Letter by Markus G. Donat et al. Nature Climate Change JOBS of the week Lead Scientist, Soil Sciences The Nature Conservancy Lecturer / Senior Lecturer, Associate Professor / Professor in Climate and Environmental Science University of Exeter Professor in Soil Science Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) More Science jobs from Nature Climate Change EVENT Summer Courses in Climate Time Series Analysis (Basic Level/Advanced Level)) 08.08.16 Bad Gandersheim, Germany More science events from Perspective Top Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change pp445 - 451 Michael Oppenheimer, Christopher M. Little and Roger M. Cooke doi:10.1038/nclimate2959 Expert judgement is often used to assess uncertainties in model-based climate change projections. This Perspective describes a statistical approach to formalizing the role of expert judgement, using Antarctic ice loss as an illustrative example. Reviews Top Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sector pp452 - 461 Mario Herrero, Benjamin Henderson, Petr Havlík, Philip K. Thornton, Richard T. Conant, Pete Smith, Stefan Wirsenius, Alexander N. Hristov, Pierre Gerber, Margaret Gill, Klaus Butterbach-Bahl, Hugo Valin, Tara Garnett and Elke Stehfest doi:10.1038/nclimate2925 This Review article looks at options for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from the livestock sector, including technical and management interventions, sustainable intensification of production and moderation of demand for livestock products. Observations of climate change among subsistence-oriented communities around the world pp462 - 473 V. Savo, D. Lepofsky, J. P. Benner, K. E. Kohfeld, J. Bailey and K. Lertzman doi:10.1038/nclimate2958 A review of climatic changes reported by subsistence-oriented communities around the world highlights the contribution that such local observations can make to our understanding of the impact of climate change on ecosystems and societies. Letters Top Regional estimates of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions pp474 - 478 Martin Leduc, H. Damon Matthews and Ramón de Elía doi:10.1038/nclimate2913 An analysis of the regional climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions establishes a clear quantitative link between the total amount of CO2 emitted and the magnitude of local climate warming. The safety band of Antarctic ice shelves pp479 - 482 Johannes Jakob Fürst, Gaël Durand, Fabien Gillet-Chaulet, Laure Tavard, Melanie Rankl, Matthias Braun & Olivier Gagliardini doi:10.1038/nclimate2912 The authors map the areas of all the Antarctic ice shelves that can be lost without causing any ice discharge from further up on the ice sheet. Response of marine bacterioplankton pH homeostasis gene expression to elevated CO2 pp483 - 487 Carina Bunse, Daniel Lundin, Christofer M. G. Karlsson, Neelam Akram, Maria Vila-Costa, Joakim Palovaara, Lovisa Svensson, Karin Holmfeldt, José M. González, Eva Calvo, Carles Pelejero, Cèlia Marrasé, Mark Dopson, Josep M. Gasol and Jarone Pinhassi doi:10.1038/nclimate2914 How marine bacteria respond to ocean acidification was investigated by metatranscriptome analysis of mesocosm experiments. Bacteria in low-nutrient sea water had enhanced gene expression under elevated CO2 levels, in order to adapt to environmental stress. The potential for land sparing to offset greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture pp488 - 492 Anthony Lamb, Rhys Green, Ian Bateman, Mark Broadmeadow, Toby Bruce, Jennifer Burney, Pete Carey, David Chadwick, Ellie Crane, Rob Field, Keith Goulding, Howard Griffiths, Astley Hastings, Tim Kasoar, Daniel Kindred, Ben Phalan, John Pickett, Pete Smith, Eileen Wall, Erasmus K. H. J. zu Ermgassen and Andrew Balmford doi:10.1038/nclimate2910 Reducing agricultural emissions during times of increasing food demand is a challenge. Research, using the UK as an example, now shows the technical mitigation potential of increasing agricultural yields, reducing farmed area and restoring habitats. Increasing beef production could lower greenhouse gas emissions in Brazil if decoupled from deforestation pp493 - 497 R. de Oliveira Silva, L. G. Barioni, J. A. J. Hall, M. Folegatti Matsuura, T. Zanett Albertini, F. A. Fernandes and D. Moran doi:10.1038/nclimate2916 Modelling shows that increased beef production in the Brazilian Cerrado could lower greenhouse gas emissions and increase soil organic carbon stocks, provided that it is decoupled from deforestation. Climate and topography explain range sizes of terrestrial vertebrates pp498 - 502 Yiming Li, Xianping Li, Brody Sandel, David Blank, Zetian Liu, Xuan Liu and Shaofei Yan doi:10.1038/nclimate2895 Climate, evolutionary age, topography, land area and several species traits all influence range size. Research quantifying these influences on terrestrial vertebrates suggests that small-range species may be most vulnerable to climate change. Climate and health impacts of US emissions reductions consistent with 2 °C pp503 - 507 Drew T. Shindell, Yunha Lee and Greg Faluvegi doi:10.1038/nclimate2935 If the US were to implement power and transport policies consistent with a 2 °C scenario, it could prevent hundreds of thousands of premature deaths each year and be worth billions of dollars to the US economy. More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions pp508 - 513 Markus G. Donat, Andrew L. Lowry, Lisa V. Alexander, Paul A. O’Gorman and Nicola Maher doi:10.1038/nclimate2941 Extreme precipitation over land has increased over the wettest and driest regions and is likely to keep intensifying over the twenty-first century. This has key implications for dry regions, which may be unprepared for the potential related flooding. See also: News and Views by William Ingram Articles Top Economics of tipping the climate dominoes pp514 - 519 Derek Lemoine and Christian P. Traeger doi:10.1038/nclimate2902 Global warming could trigger irreversible regime shifts—‘tipping points’—in the climate system. This study analyses climate policy in the presence of a potential domino effect resulting from the interaction of such tipping points. Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction pp520 - 525 Yongyang Cai, Timothy M. Lenton and Thomas S. Lontzek doi:10.1038/nclimate2964 Integrated assessment modelling backed by expert judgement indicates that the existence of future multiple interacting climate tipping points, with irreversible economic damages, greatly increases the social cost of carbon. See also: News and Views by Frederick van der Ploeg Future cost-competitive electricity systems and their impact on US CO2 emissions pp526 - 531 Alexander E. MacDonald, Christopher T. M. Clack, Anneliese Alexander, Adam Dunbar, James Wilczak and Yuanfu Xie doi:10.1038/nclimate2921 Combined energy and weather modelling suggests that CO2 emissions from the US electricity sector can be reduced by up to 80% using existing technologies, and without increasing the cost of electricity. See also: News and Views by Mark Z. Jacobson Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change pp532 - 537 Gerrit Hansen and Dáithí Stone doi:10.1038/nclimate2896 An assessment of links between anthropogenic climate change and the impacts of recent regional climate trends on human and natural systems shows that many of these impacts can now be attributed to the effects of global warming. Corrigenda Top Corrigendum: Co-benefits of addressing climate change can motivate action around the world p538 Paul G. Bain, Taciano L. Milfont, Yoshihisa Kashima, Michał Bilewicz, Guy Doron, Ragna B. Garðarsdóttir, Valdiney V. Gouveia, Yanjun Guan, Lars-Olof Johansson, Carlota Pasquali, Victor Corral-Verdugo, Juan Ignacio Aragones,, Akira Utsugi, Christophe Demarque, Siegmar Otto, Joonha Park, Martin Soland, Linda Steg, Roberto González, Nadezhda Lebedeva, Ole Jacob Madsen, Claire Wagner, Charity S. Akotia, Tim Kurz, José L. Saiz, P.Wesley Schultz, Gró Einarsdóttir and Nina M. Saviolidis doi:10.1038/nclimate2990 Corrigendum: Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C p538 Joeri Rogelj, Gunnar Luderer, Robert C. Pietzcker, Elmar Kriegler, Michiel Schaeffer, Volker Krey and Keywan Riahi doi:10.1038/nclimate2993 Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

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