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2024/02/28

A 194% Payout Ratio?

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AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

Wealthy Retirement

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Legendary Investor Paul Tudor Jones Predicts "Violent Death" for Putin

Putin Stressed
 

Source: Wikimedia Commons

 

Few people know this, but Putin just made the single biggest mistake of his life. It's not invading Ukraine... but it could have a profound effect on world markets. A market expert breaks down the opportunity here.

Editor's Note: We're doing something a little different for this week's Safety Net.

We normally wouldn't cover the same stock in The Value Meter and Safety Net within a week. But several of you asked us to evaluate Pfizer in both columns, so we thought it'd be valuable to take a look at it from both a value angle and a dividend angle.

Remember, a stock's valuation and its dividend safety can be very different. Be sure to gather as much information as possible before buying a stock, and always consider which strategies are the best fit for you and your investing goals.

- Rachel Gearhart, Publisher

Beware This Dangerous 6.3% Yielder

John Oravec, Research Analyst, The Oxford Club

John Oravec

COVID-19 put a lot of companies in the spotlight.

Cruise companies like Carnival (NYSE: CCL) found themselves without any customers...

And tech companies like Zoom Video Communications (Nasdaq: ZM) and Teladoc Health (NYSE: TDOC) found a sudden windfall of cash...

But no company shined more than the vaccine makers Moderna (Nasdaq: MRNA) and Pfizer (NYSE: PFE).

Back in 2021, Marc covered Pfizer and gave it a fantastic dividend safety rating of "A."

But that was back then. This is now.

As Director of Trading Anthony Summers showed you on Friday, Pfizer's stock may no longer be the golden child it used to be for your portfolio.

Perhaps it's a different story when it comes to Pfizer's dividend, though. The company currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.42, which equates to a very nice annual yield of 6.3%.

Is the dividend still as trustworthy as it was in 2021? Let's dive into the numbers...

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The Last Great Crypto Bull Market Starts on April 22, 2024?

 

This catalyst has happened exactly three times before... on November 28, 2012, July 9, 2016, and May 11, 2020.

And on those three occasions, those who understood what was going on had the chance to collect gains ranging from 8,616%... to 12,280%... all the way up to 330,000%!

In just 18 months or less.

Discover the most important catalyst in crypto.

Pfizer's stock had a particularly awful 2023, losing nearly half of its value.

Chart: Pfizer
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Much of that decline was fueled by a massive drop in revenue.

And where there's a drop in revenue, we'll almost certainly see a drop in free cash flow.

In 2022, Pfizer's free cash flow was $26 billion.

Fast-forward to 2023, and we see that it fell to only $4.8 billion.

Chart: Free Cash Flow Well Below Pre-COVID Levels
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That's an 81.6% drop in just one year. And it has me seeing red flags all over.

On top of that, the decline in free cash flow resulted in a 194% payout ratio for the company.

That's well above our 75% threshold.

In addition to seeing red flags, I'm now hearing sirens in the distance for the company's dividend...

Finish Reading and Get My Grade Here
2024 Private Wealth Seminar at the Wequassett Resort & Golf Club in Harwich, Massachusetts on October 7-8, 2024

This uber-successful hedge fund CEO has been investing since he was 12... and these are HIS THREE picks for 2024's top stocks

What Warren Buffett Told Shareholders

Get Marc's Top 5 Dividend Stocks (FREE PICKS)

I Was Terrible at Trading (Until I Learned This)

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30 Years to Fill It... 10 Months to Drain It

Oil Reserve
 

It took over 30 years to fill our emergency oil reserves. Yet Biden bled them dry... in just 10 months. All for political gain. A whopping 200 million barrels... gone in a flash. And it gets even worse from there...

See how some unassuming Americans are about to pay big for Biden's mistake... and how others are preparing for the potential massive windfall. CLICK HERE.

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