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Special Report
Can These 3 Rare Earth Stocks Gain From Iran War Disruption?Submitted by Nathan Reiff. First Published: 3/23/2026. 
Key Points
- Domestic production of rare earth elements could become increasingly important amid surging geopolitical tensions surrounding the war in Iran.
- MP Materials is likely the best-established and most popular of the rare earth producers based in the United States, with an estimated 6,000 tons of mining capacity expected by the end of the year.
- USA Rare Earth and Energy Fuels are both up-and-coming rare earths companies worth a closer look as demand shifts.
- Special Report: The "Prophet" Issues His Final Warning
Weeks into the war in Iran, many investors are focused on oil prices and the potential impact on global energy supplies. But those who don't take a broader view may overlook the potential disruption to the rare-earth and critical-minerals markets. According to estimates by the Iranian government, the country holds more than $27 trillion in mineral reserves. Further, with China continuing to dominate global rare-earth resources, if the conflict draws that nation closer to Iran it could further disrupt the flow of those materials to the United States and elsewhere. There are U.S. rare-earth producers operating domestically, but the country has historically relied heavily on imports. Notably, the U.S. military announced in late February that securing domestic rare-earth elements is a key national security priority. The companies below may be best positioned to help achieve that goal. MP Materials' Strong Infrastructure and Growth Trajectory Put It in a Dominant Position
There's a reason MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is one of the first names investors think of when it comes to domestic rare-earth operations—the company is the largest producer of these minerals in the western hemisphere and is unique in the U.S. as a fully integrated producer. MP remains a solid Buy: 15 of 16 Wall Street analysts reviewing the stock rate it favorably. What's more, despite climbing by a whopping 115% in the last year, shares could still rise by another 37% based on price targets. Military financing and a price-floor agreement on rare-earth metals helped revenue climb 10% year over year in 2025, and the company swung to net income in the final quarter of the year after a loss in the prior-year period. Adjusted EBITDA also improved substantially on a year-over-year basis in the latest quarter. A critical advantage for MP is its scale. The firm anticipates reaching 6,000 tons in refining capacity by the end of the year, and heavy rare-earth separation facilities are slated to be commissioned by midyear. Any would-be competitors will face a major uphill battle against this infrastructure edge. USA Rare Earth's Advantageous Operations and Government Investment Still Yield High Risk/RewardUSA Rare Earth (NASDAQ: USAR) may have the highest risk/reward profile of any domestic rare-earth firm. As of the latest quarter, the company is pre-revenue and reported net losses of nearly $157 million, with management expecting higher adjusted operating expenses going forward. But the losses largely reflect major investments in infrastructure buildout and the acquisition of other firms, such as Texas Mineral Resources Corp. (OTCMKTS: TMRC) (announced in early March 2026). This acquisition is notable because it gives USA Rare Earth sole operator access to the Round Top deposit, North America's richest known source of terbium and dysprosium—two rare-earth elements critical for defense applications. Another major advantage is heavy investment by the U.S. government, which acquired a 10% equity stake in the firm and should provide much-needed capital and stability during this pre-revenue period. Nonetheless, USA Rare Earth's fledgling status is important to note, and investors attracted by the 87% upside potential should remember that the risks are equally high. Energy Fuels Offers Dual Focus on Rare-Earths and UraniumDiversified critical-minerals producer Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) provides exposure to both uranium and rare-earth minerals in a single investment. The company faces top- and bottom-line challenges: for 2025, it reported a loss of $0.38 per share, wider than the $0.28 loss in 2024. On the other hand, production is accelerating, and analysts are bullish—the company boosted uranium mining, production, and sales last year while lowering unit costs year over year and generating $48 million in uranium revenue. Investors focused specifically on rare earths should note that Energy Fuels is an emerging rare-earth producer. In January 2026 the company announced positive results from a feasibility study for a Phase 2 expansion into both light and heavy rare-earth elements. Energy Fuels could be one to watch for its neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide capabilities; NdPr is used to produce specialized magnets for electric and hybrid vehicles. . |
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