| Wednesday, July 3rd, 2013 | | | | |
| | When to Buy the Correction | | - Taming the "rip 'n dip" market
- Summer doldrums sink stocks
- Plus: Why are you even reading this?
| | | Greg Guenthner coming to you from Baltimore, MD...
| Greg Guenthner | Another day, another "rip 'n dip" market… For the second day in a row, stocks shot off to a hot start, only to trickle lower and finish slightly in the red. Once again, the major indexes failed to reclaim enough territory to buck the short-term downtrend. Tuesday also marked the fourth day in a row that saw the Dow fell back right at its 50-day moving average. But don't worry— you can untether yourself from your computer monitor early today. The markets close at 1 p.m. And thanks to Independence Day falling on Thursday, we get a lonely Friday trading session to finish up the week. Expect low trading volume through Friday. Even though this is a slow week, it's still important to get your bearings. If stocks do follow through with another move lower, where will they land? I think we'll see the broad market sneak lower from here. Futures are a little off this morning, upside momentum is gone, and we're entering the summer doldrums. All of this adds up to a sideways or falling market for a little while—which is great news for investors. No, I'm not suffering from heat exhaustion. This correction is actually a good thing. Let the market bleed out the latecomers. Get the bull market stories back off the radar. That will set us up nicely for a meaningful bounce toward the end of the summer. My best bet is that we see stocks bounce as the S&P approaches 1,525. That's the area that will provide you the perfect low-risk entry point for new investments. As for right now, the game plan remains unchanged. If you're stubbornly sitting on open gains, take a little off the table. You'll have a chance to buy again soon enough… | | | | Rude Numbers | Targets, Predictions and Wild Guesses | | $101.34 | buys a barrel of crude today. This marks the first time oil has traded in the triple digits since early 2012… | $10 billion | flowed out of PIMCO's largest bond fund in June. The massive fund saw an absolute wipeout of net inflows over the past few months – 2.9% this year so far, to be exact… | 235,643 | new Fords left American car lots in June, up from 207,759 a year ago. GM and Chrysler both posted sales growth too, as the auto industry roars back to life. | $88 | buys a Bitcoin this morning. That's the alternative currency's lowest price since its April crash. | 188,000 | jobs were added by private companies in June, according to the ADP employment survey released earlier this morning. That's up from 134,000 in May… | | | | | Rude Trends | When to Buy... When to Sell | | "You fascinate me with all of your random predictions of which way the market or gold will go!" writes a sarcastic reader. "I think of you as someone blinded standing out in a field predicting which way the wind will blow in a few days. No explanation of your reasoning other than comment about how the wind has blown in the past." You're absolutely right. What the hell do I know? I just sit here at this computer pulling numbers out of a hat. When that fails, I consult the moon and the stars. Or I'll take a nap. Perhaps some answers will come to me in the form of a dream… Anyone with half a brain knows that all markets move on serious economic news covered in detail by the mainstream financial press. Just flip on CNBC, take some notes on what the six talking heads say about the sequester or tapering, and make a million or two. Rinse and repeat. It's that simple. I don't even know why you're reading this...
[Ed. Note: Send your feedback here: rude@agorafinancial.com - and follow me on Twitter: @GregGuenthner] | | | | Ignore At Your Own Peril | Today's Must Read Links | | | | | BE SURE TO ADD dr@dailyreckoning.com to your address book. | | | | Additional Articles & Commentary:
| | | | | | | |
No comments:
Post a Comment
Keep a civil tongue.