Earlier this week, I was talking to an uncle about his investments. He said the markets were overheated, so he was going to "cut and run." Take his profits now and get out before the inevitable happened. That's silly, I explained. If the underlying companies are solid, then he should hold on. The stock prices will recover after a correction. I told him that if I'd learned anything from working in this industry, it was that the market ultimately moves in only one direction: up. As it turns out, we were both right... or both a little wrong, as the case may be. Risky BusinessI turned to my mentor for all things finance and investing, Chief Trends Strategist Matthew Carr. There's one detail I hadn't properly factored in: risk tolerance. I'm a young adult. I have exposure to long-term, high-risk, high-growth investments. A market correction - or even a full-on bear market - would hardly make a dent in my retirement plans. It would be more of a speed bump than a pothole. Whereas my uncle is in his mid-60s and nearing retirement. (Though I think he enjoys his work too much to take the plunge!) For him, a correction could wipe out years of gains in the blink of an eye... gains that he won't necessarily have time to recoup. His portfolio should be low-risk with plenty of income generators like dividend-paying stocks and bonds. Find Your BalanceNow, I said we were both right... and that's true depending on your level of risk. It's a good idea to close out your highfliers when you think a peak has been hit, Matthew explained to me. This is one way to recoup your principal investment and play with the house's money. Closing out positions will also allow you to rebalance your portfolio. When your winners take off, your portfolio becomes overweight in those positions. We typically recommend that any single position should account for only 4% of your portfolio. This is called position sizing. But that 4% could turn into 20% of your portfolio's value if the underlying stock takes off. So taking profits - but not exiting the market completely - is one way to unload some positions and rebalance your portfolio while also keeping some skin in the game. If you can withstand a little bit of risk, don't close out a good position in anticipation of a fall that may or may not happen in the short term. That kind of caution will end up hurting you in the long run. |
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