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2022/10/04

🏳 Elon gives in

Plus: Ray Dalio's legacy | Tuesday, October 04, 2022
 
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Axios Closer
By Hope King and Nathan Bomey · Oct 04, 2022

Tuesday ✅. Let's get right down to it...

Today's newsletter is 697 words, a 2½-minute read.

🔔 The dashboard: The S&P 500 closed up 3.0%.

  • Biggest gainer? Twitter (+22.2.0%), see below...
  • Biggest decliner? Welltower (-1.5%), the health care infrastructure REIT, after telling investors that delayed HHS disbursement will reduce funds from operations below the midpoint of prior Q3 guidance.
 
 
1 big thing: Elon's Twitter reversal-reversal
Photo illustration of Elon Musk and the Twitter logo on square abstract blocks.

Photo illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photo: Jonathan Newton/The Washington Post via Getty Images

 

Elon Musk and Twitter on Tuesday afternoon confirmed that the Tesla CEO has offered to proceed with his $44 billion buyout of the social media company, reversing course yet again, Axios' Dan Primack and Sara Fischer write.

Why it matters: This would preempt a trial that had been scheduled for October, tied to Musk's efforts to walk away from his original acquisition agreement.

State of play: Twitter has not yet responded to the offer, which is conditioned on Musk receiving his debt financing and the Delaware Chancery Court issuing a stay in the case.

  • The company did, however, repeat its intention to complete the merger at $54.20 per share.

On the docket: Musk's original argument for terminating the merger was that Twitter allegedly had undercounted the number of bots, or fake accounts, on the platform.

  • He later amended his complaint to include claims from a Twitter whistleblower that the company misled regulators about its efforts to reduce spam and protect Twitter from security threats.
  • There is no mention of bots or security in the letter sent last night to Twitter.

Be smart: One reading of Musk's about-face is that he's lost confidence in his legal case, having already experienced a series of procedural losses in Delaware Chancery Court.

  • Sources close to Musk recently told Axios that he knew there was a good chance he'd lose at trial.

Meanwhile, it comes one day after he drew the ire of Ukrainian officials for tweeting what he thought was the most likely outcome of Russia's invasion, Hope writes.

  • His reversal also comes after private text messages — released as part of court documents in his legal dispute with Twitter — revealed details about his relationships and those in his inner circle.

What we're watching: When the dust settles on the deal drama, the focus will return to Twitter's business challenges — which have only intensified due to slowing growth in the advertising market.

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2. Bonus chart: Twitter stock mayhem
Data: FactSet; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

Twitter shares surged 22% today, resuming trading with less than half an hour left in the session after being halted by the initial report from Bloomberg.

  • They closed at $52, 4.1% below Musk's offer price of $54.20.
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3. What's happening

Olive AI, a health care automation startup valued at $4 billion, is planning an asset sale as clients drop off. (Axios)

🛍 Amazon is freezing corporate hiring in its retail business. (NYT)

📉 KPMG survey indicates coming layoffs, some industries will be hit harder than others. (Axios)

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4. Ray Dalio calls it quits

Ray Dalio at 92NY on Sept. 19 in New York City. Photo: Taylor Hill/Getty Images

 

Ray Dalio, founder of the biggest hedge fund ($150 billion) in the world, is giving up control of his company after nearly 50 years, Hope writes.

  • Bridgewater Associates announced the conclusion of a succession and transition plan — 12 years in the making — today.

Why it matters: From creating the firm's infamous feedback culture to growing its funds' historical performance and size, Dalio has helped define Wall Street's aspirational mystique for multiple generations.

Details: Dalio, 73, transferred all of his voting rights (previously 95%) to the board at the end of September and stepped down as one of three co-chief investment officers.

  • He will keep his seat on the board and assume "founder and CIO mentor" as his new title.

The big picture: He's among the first in his cohort of fund managers to relinquish control. Blackstone co-founder Steve Schwarzman, 75, remains chairman and CEO. KKR & Co. founders Henry Kravis, 78, and George Roberts, 79, are still co-chairs, Bloomberg noted.

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5. Media's iconic hot potato

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

TV Guide has been sold. Again.

  • Right now, you're likely thinking one of three things, depending on your age, Dan writes:
  • (1) TV Guide still exists? (2) What is TV Guide? (3) What is TV?

History: The iconic brand first hit supermarket checkout aisles in 1953 and hit its valuation peak in 1988 at $3 billion.

  • Since the internet eradicated the need for a published compendium of TV program listings, it has been sold numerous times, in whole or in parts.

The latest: TV Guide's digital properties were just sold by Red Ventures to TPG-backed Fandom for around $50 million.

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6. What they're saying
"I think this is exactly what the Fed wants to see."
— Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, said about today's report on the reduction in job openings.
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Are you a marketer looking to reach decision makers? Consider advertising with Axios:

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  • Achieve your KPIs around business development, awareness, and product sales.
  • Reach an audience 42% more likely to be C-Suite execs.

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Today's newsletter was edited by Pete Gannon and copy edited by Sheryl Miller.

🎧  Check out "How it Happened: Elon Musk vs. Twitter Part II: Empire of Risk" — the second installment in Axios' new podcast docuseries about how Musk built his cross-industry empire, the rise of Twitter, and what the collision between the two could mean for us all. Listen here.

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