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2023/10/15

The Morning: Baseball’s best month and biggest problem

Plus, the latest from the Middle East, megafires and a pioneering psychedelics researcher.
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The Morning

October 15, 2023

Good morning. We're covering the baseball playoffs and the sport's biggest problem — as well as the latest from the Middle East and a pioneering psychedelics researcher.

A baseball player, holding a bate wearing a white uniform, prepares to hit a ball.
At a Minnesota Twins-Houston Astros game.  Adam Bettcher/Getty Images

A parade of strikeouts

The final game of the playoff series between the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday lasted only two hours and 38 minutes. It was a crisply played game — which the Astros won, 3-2 — that highlighted Major League Baseball's biggest accomplishment this season. Thanks to a 15-second clock that prevents players from dawdling between pitches, the average game lasted just two hours and 40 minutes this season, down a remarkable 24 minutes from last season.

Major League Baseball has trumpeted this change with television commercials. Journalists have praised it for speeding up a hidebound sport. Fans seem to have noticed, too: Attendance rose 10 percent, to its highest level in six years.

The shorter game times will help more fans enjoy the sport's semifinals, known as the League Championship Series, which begin tonight with an intra-Texas rivalry between the Astros and the Texas Rangers. Tomorrow night, the other series — between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies — begins.

There will be plenty of good stories over the next couple weeks. The Astros could become the first repeat champions in more than two decades. The Rangers have never won a World Series. Neither has Bryce Harper, the Phillies' star. The Diamondbacks' best player, Corbin Carroll, is a 23-year-old rookie. If you like watching only a few baseball games a year, now is the time to tune in.

But the sport still has a basic problem that the celebration over the pitch clock has obscured: Major League Baseball, which can already seem slow compared with football and basketball, includes less action than at any almost any other point in its history.

Baseball executives tried to address this problem with a package of rule changes before this season, including not only the clock but also larger bases (to encourage steals) and restrictions on where fielders can stand (to allow for more hits). They didn't solve the problem, though.

This chart tells the story:

A chart shows the share of plate appearances that ended in strikeouts or hits. Since 2018, the rate of strikeouts has surpassed the rate of hit.
Source: Baseball Reference | By The New York Times

For most of baseball's history, hits were much more common than strikeouts — and hits are exciting. They can score runs, as a home run always does, or can put a runner on base who creates game action. Strikeouts, by contrast, involve a batter walking back to the dugout after failing to hit a pitch.

"The idea that there would be more strikeouts than hits would have been a crazy idea even 20 years ago," Joe Sheehan, a longtime baseball writer, told me. "Well, strikeouts surpassed hits in 2018 and there have been more strikeouts than hits in every year since."

(The small recent decline in strikeouts you can see in the chart is the result of pitchers — who tend to be weak batters — no longer hitting for themselves in any game. That change happened two years ago, and it had a one-time effect.)

Going to 11

Why have strikeouts increased so rapidly in the past two decades? Pitchers have become stronger and can throw harder. Computer analysis has taught them how to spin pitches even more effectively than before. And teams have jammed their rosters with pitchers so that many need to throw only one inning at a time, allowing them to throw as hard as possible to just a few batters each night.

As a result, the late innings of games often resemble a procession of strikeouts. During the Astros-Twins game on Wednesday, six of the Twins' last seven batters struck out.

There are reasons to think that fans would prefer a livelier game. Attendance, despite the increase this year, is still about 10 percent below its 2007 peak. In polls, baseball has slipped to be the country's third most popular sport, behind both football, which it has long trailed, and basketball. "Baseball, in its design, was a game of baserunning and defense, and there's less baserunning and defense than ever before in the game's history," Sheehan said.

Baseball has more promising ways to address the problem than it has tried so far. It could limit the number of pitchers on a roster to, say, 11; that was a normal number a few decades ago, but teams now often carry 13. Baseball could also lower the mound, as it did in 1969, or shrink the strike zone.

Some of these changes might sound radical, but most successful sports — and successful businesses of any kind, for that matter — make significant changes over time.

For more: I'm a baseball fan, and Sheehan's newsletter consistently provides some of the smartest, most enjoyable coverage I read.

From The Athletic: Tyler Kepner profiles Trea Turner, the Phillies' shortstop.

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NEWS

Israel-Gaza War

People in military attire standing on top of and near military vehicles.
Israeli soldiers in Be'eri. Sergey Ponomarev for The New York Times

Politics

International

  • Covid and the war in Ukraine have disrupted the supply chain for fertilizers, threatening the livelihoods of farmers and increasing food insecurity in Africa and Asia.

Other Big Stories

A park ranger at the Grand Canyon holds up bolt cutters and a string of locks attached to a chain.
At the Grand Canyon.  D. Pawlak/National Park Service

FROM OPINION

The left-wing fervor for "decolonization" can become an excuse for the kind of terrorist violence that Hamas committed last weekend, Ross Douthat writes.

No shelter, no defense, no hope: Palestinians are watching the West and Israel deprive them of their humanity, Mosab Abu Toha, a poet, writes.

"My whole world": Rachel Goldberg pleads for the safety of her son, Hersh, whom Hamas abducted from a music festival.

Here are columns by Thomas Friedman on Israel's soul, David French on decision making in war and Lydia Polgreen on Israel and Biden's age.

The Sunday question: Should the next House speaker buck the hard right?

House Republicans need to put forward a nominee that appeals to moderates, "which means accommodating Democratic priorities," The Washington Post's Henry Olsen writes. But the hard right is correct to criticize federal spending, and "treating the conservative faction as a problem to be managed," W. James Antle III writes for CNN, "has clearly failed."

Gain unlimited access to The Times — with just one subscription. Independent reporting. Recipes. Games. Product reviews. Personalized sports journalism. Enjoy it all by subscribing today.

MORNING READS

A person dressed as an elephant with a long braid adorned with rainbow-colored bows that is swinging in the air. The person is on a basketball court surrounded by seated spectators and is wearing Nike sneakers and a turquoise-and-black basketball uniform with a rainbow tutu over the elephant costume.
Ellie in a rainbow tutu.  Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Meet Ellie: The New York Liberty's elephant mascot has twerked her way into W.N.B.A. fans' hearts.

Ironic icon: Meme-loving leftists have embraced Hunter Biden as an antihero.

Who gets credit? In Texas, there's a culinary scandal over the origins of deep-fried pho, a version of the Vietnamese soup in which noodles and beef are wrapped in a tortilla.

Vows: When Kendra Morris met the mayor of Birmingham, Ala., she didn't think anything of it — until she had a vision about their future.

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TALK | FROM THE TIMES MAGAZINE

A man with gray hair and glasses, wearing a blue button down top, puts his hands together, his palms touching.
Roland Griffiths Mamadi Doumbouya for The New York Times

Earlier this year, I spoke with the pioneering psychedelics researcher Roland Griffiths, who has been diagnosed with Stage 4 metastatic colon cancer.

You talk about your cancer almost as if it's a gift. Does that mean you don't have regrets about what's happening?

My life has never been better! If I had a regret, it's that I didn't wake up as much as I have without a cancer diagnosis. There have been so many positive things: my relationship with my children, my grandchildren, my siblings, my wife [Marla]. So do I have any regrets? No, but my concern is principally for Marla and how she's going to deal with this. We've talked about my passing as being an opportunity, like my diagnosis, to wake up. Because these are opportunities to use events that could be labeled and experienced as miserable but don't need to be.

What do you struggle with?

Marla and I had just adopted a dog and that's brought us incredible joy. Then we got some test results back suggesting the possibility of kidney failure. That's been more difficult than dealing with my own diagnosis. I can say, acutely, that this gives me something new to work with.

So you have this sense, near the end of your life, of waking up to life's real meaning. What's the most important thing for everyone else who's still asleep to know?

I want everyone to appreciate the joy and wonder of every single moment of their lives. There is a reason every day to celebrate that we're alive, that we have another day to explore whatever this gift is of being conscious, of being aware, of being aware that we are aware. That's to be celebrated!

Read more of the interview here.

More from the magazine

BOOKS

Justin Torres leans against a wall and gazes straight at the camera. He wears a dark collared shirt and a necklace.
Justin Torres Jessica Lehrman for The New York Times

"Blackouts": Julian Torres's latest novel, his second, is a National Book Award finalist that shifts between fact and fiction to tell an intergenerational queer story.

Our editors' picks: "Penance," a novel that presents itself as a work of nonfiction about the murder of a teenager, and eight others.

Times best sellers: Michael Lewis's profile of the disgraced FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, "Going Infinite," tops the hardcover nonfiction list.

THE MORNING RECOMMENDS …

Unlearn myths about sex.

Use teeth-whitening strips that are easy to apply and work quickly.

Stock your home gym with long-lasting adjustable dumbbells.

Watch these five horror movies in the lead-up to Halloween.

THE WEEK AHEAD

What to Watch For

  • Ecuador's presidential runoff election is today.
  • Federal prosecutors will argue tomorrow that a judge should impose a limited gag order on Trump related to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.
  • The U.S. is hosting a joint summit on Friday with the European Union. The leaders are expected to discuss support for Ukraine and the Israel-Gaza war.

What to Cook This Week

Salmon topped with sesame seeds and a bed of greens.
David Malosh for The New York Times

For this week's Five Weeknight Dishes newsletter, Mia Leimkuhler featured recipes that rely on the condiments likely to be in your fridge. They include miso-mustard salmon, stir-fried tomatoes and eggs made with ketchup, and roasted chicken thighs with a mayonnaise-apricot marinade.

NOW TIME TO PLAY

Here is today's Spelling Bee. Yesterday's pangrams were ambiance and ambience.

Can you put eight historical events — including the opening of the Brooklyn Bridge, the first marathon and Einstein's theory of relativity — in chronological order? Take this week's Flashback quiz.

And here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle, Sudoku and Connections.

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — David

Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox. Reach our team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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Editor: David Leonhardt

News Editor: Tom Wright-Piersanti

News Staff: Desiree Ibekwe, Lauren Jackson, Sean Kawasaki-Culligan, Brent Lewis, German Lopez, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Ashley Wu

News Assistant: Lyna Bentahar

Saturday Writer: Melissa Kirsch

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