There was an article written recently that was picked up and sent to hundreds of thousands of physicians. The article wasn't great but the title (arguing that a Roth IRA is a bad investment) was terrible. We've gotten this article sent to us so many times this week that it has to be rebutted. Let's talk about it below in December's financial tip of the month. |
SPONSORED BY | |
This newsletter is sponsored by Bob Bhayani at Dr. Disability Quotes.com. He is a truly independent provider of disability insurance planning solutions to the medical community nationwide and a long-time WCI sponsor. Bob specializes in working with residents and fellows early in their careers to set up sound financial and insurance strategies. A reader sent us this feedback: "Bob and his team were organized, patient, unerringly professional, and honest. I was completely disarmed by his time and care. I am indebted to Bob's advocacy on my behalf, and on behalf of other physicians, and to you for recommending him." If you need to review your disability insurance coverage to make sure it meets your needs, or if you just haven't gotten around to getting this critical insurance in place, contact Bob Bhayani at Dr. Disability Quotes.com today by email at info@drdisabilityquotes.com or by calling 973-771-9100. |
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FINANCE FUNDAMENTALS | |
End of the Year Financial Checklist |
Complete Backdoor Roth IRA and Mega Backdoor Roth IRA | |
Make Retirement Account Contributions and Perform Roth Conversions | |
Max Out Other Accounts | |
Use Flexible Spending Account Money | |
Check Insurance Coverage | |
Give to Charity | |
Spend CME Money | |
Reach Your Savings Goal | |
Check Credit Report | |
Accelerate (Front-Load) Your Expenses and Delay (Back-Load) Your Income | |
Review Withholdings | |
Calculate Q4 Estimated Tax Payment | |
Prepare to Frontload Investment Accounts | |
Ready Tax Paperwork | |
Tax-Loss Harvest | |
Update Your Spreadsheets with Net Worth, Savings Rate, and ROI | |
For more details on these steps head to the full End of Year Financial Checklist. |
BEST OF THE MONTH | |
Best of WCI
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Best of the WebEvery month we recommend (about) 10 articles from across the web. Thank you to those who send us suggested articles.
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TIP OF THE MONTH | |
By Dr. James M. Dahle, |
The article was titled "Why a Roth IRA Is a Bad Idea (Yes, You Can Lose Money)." The introduction was just as click-baity: "I lost nearly $400,000 to a Roth. It's not just me. The average person is losing $163,000. Nearly everyone says a Roth IRA is a great investment. Nearly everyone is wrong." There are so many problems with that introduction that it's hard to know where to start. First of all, a Roth IRA is not an investment at all; it's an account. And it's hard for me to take seriously anyone who doesn't know the difference. Think of investing accounts as types of luggage and investments as clothes. Any piece of clothing can go into any type of luggage. Well, investing accounts don't lose money other than perhaps to fees. It's the investments inside of them that can lose money. A Roth IRA by itself cannot ever be a "good idea" or a "bad idea." It is only a good idea or a bad idea in comparison to something else. For example, when saving for retirement and in comparison to a taxable account or a non-deductible IRA, a Roth IRA is pretty much always the better option—at least in the long run. However, for a low earner who can actually deduct IRA contributions (which includes almost nobody in the audience to which Doximity sent this article), it's entirely possible that a traditional IRA is a better option for their retirement savings than a Roth IRA. For most of us in our peak earnings years, it makes sense to defer taxes rather than pay them up front, which is what is done with Roth contributions. Shortly into the article, the author rapidly flips from talking about IRAs to 401(k)s. While the logic and tax treatment may be similar in the author's financial situation, they are different things and get different tax treatment for many people (such as high earners). If you can't tell them apart, you really shouldn't be writing about them for large audiences. Frankly, if it took you 13 years from the time you started a financial blog until you realized that tax-deferred contributions are the way to go during peak earnings years, I'm not sure I want to take your advice anyway. However, the main point of the article (which has nothing to do with the title and intro) is ABSOLUTELY CORRECT. That point is that "most people should make tax-deferred contributions to their 401(k), not Roth contributions." The amazing thing here is that most people (92% according to the article) THINK they should be making Roth contributions when actually only about 9% (according to the survey cited in the article) should be. Dave Ramsey isn't helping here since he is pretty much an "All Roth, All the Time" kind of guy. If you've listened to him for very long, you'll know he doesn't do nuance very well. There's a chart in the article that is even dumber than the prose. It talks about WHO is in that 9%. Does it mention high earners who can't deduct a traditional IRA contribution? Nope. It says the following people are in that 9%:
The Roth vs tax-deferred decision is a complex one, no doubt. The first question one should ask is whether you even have both options. For most WCIers, a tax-deferred contribution to a traditional IRA is not even an option. Clearly, the Roth IRA (likely via the Backdoor Roth IRA process) is better than a non-deductible IRA contribution. Many people don't have a Roth option in their 401(k), 401(a), 403(b), or 457(b). For them, it's an easy decision to go with the tax-deferred option. When I was in the military, there was no Roth TSP. So, I made tax-deferred contributions. However, if both options are available, the main factor determining which is the better option for you is to compare your marginal tax rate now to the rate at which you will withdraw money from that account. That involves a lot of unknowns, which is why this is a difficult decision and why many people choose to just split the difference. Derek doubles down on his argument later and says that a Roth IRA is worth it for only 0.2% of the population. He says the 9% figure came from a survey of people who were entirely too optimistic about their future finances. Then, he goes on to argue that this is all some conspiracy by the government to get more tax money now instead of later. I don't really put much stock into conspiracy theories, especially those involving the government. Mostly because I've worked in government. Conspiracy theorists ascribe way too much competence to "shady government officials." Just watch Congress for a while and your estimate of the likelihood of those people running an effective long-term conspiracy will go way down. I used to watch a bunch of government workers try to day trade their TSP. It would have been hilarious if it wasn't so sad. At any rate, I hate this article and the message it is sending out there (Roth contributions are wicked, always stay away), even if the message actually in the article is basically correct—that those in their peak earnings years should generally prefer tax-deferred retirement accounts and lots of people don't realize this. He even eventually gets the reasoning right:
I just wish he had done it in the much less flashy manner in which Harry Sit made this same argument many years ago in his recently updated article "The Case Against the Roth 401(k)." Too bad Derek didn't read that article when it came out in 2008. He would have saved a lot of money. Lesson for WCIers from this debacle?
The White Coat Investor |
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