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2024/07/20

This was fascinating...

SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIES

The Oxford Club Special Opportunities

Killer Tips for Trading Around Earning Season

Justin Fritz-Rushing, Editorial Director, The Oxford Club

If you're an Oxford Club Member, I hope you joined our live Clubroom session this week!

Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld joined us to walk through a few of his favorite things to watch out for every earning season.

If you missed it, and you're ever wondering how to juice your returns as companies announce earnings, Oxford Club Members can always go to the Recordings section of the Clubroom to watch replays of our live sessions.

You can also check out an excerpt below, where Marc breaks down one of his earnings tips...

For traders, earnings can be a very, very lucrative period to trade. We'll see stocks jump 5%, 10%, or more in one day - and often gap open that much. If you're positioned right, you can really do quite well.

And obviously, the opposite is true. Leaning the wrong way, the losses can be a little bit bigger than they might be at other times.

For me, what I really wanted to try to help traders with is how to increase the odds in your favor.

Think of a blackjack card counter. When they count cards, it's certainly not a guarantee they're going to win, but they're shifting the odds in their favor. So that's what we're trying to do with these different steps that we're going to be talking about today. We're going to try to increase the odds that we're going to be right...

Okay, one of the first things that I look for when trying to play an earnings situation is a history of earnings beats. And you can see, this is a company called Matador Resources (NYSE: MTDR). I recommended it yesterday in Trigger Event Trader.

Matador Resources has beaten their earnings expectations every quarter since the end of 2016. [That's] every quarter since the Obama administration. That's a pretty steady track record...

It's not an exact science. There are a lot of things that go into making a recommendation. But generally speaking, I would like to see [the company beat earnings in] 11 or 12 out of [the last] 16 [quarters] as a good indication that the company is likely to beat earnings.

But it was something Marc said in the second half of the session that I found particularly fascinating - about a pattern that he's never noticed before.

In short, he and our research team have discovered that there's a single day of the month that's statistically the best day to buy stocks.

He also touched on the "turn of the month effect," which has accounted for all of the Dow's positive return over a 79-year period, according to Financial Analysts Journal.

And Marc plans to incorporate these findings in his Technical Pattern Profits trading service. So if you're a current subscriber, look for more details coming from Marc.

But for those of you interested in learning more about Marc's discoveries, go here.

Good investing,

Justin

 

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