The Sunday Spotlight: Bitcoin, Black Swans, and Market Mayhem

The craziest week ever?  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

March 23, 2025 WEBSITE | UNSUBSCRIBE

Editor’s Note: At Truth & Trends, we highlight the moments that shake markets — whether through data, disruption or, in this case, sheer impossibility. In today’s Sunday Spotlight, we revisit a jaw-dropping Bitcoin prediction that shouldn’t have been possible… yet somehow was. Now, Bitcoin pushing higher has much grander implications than simply moving the crypto market higher. Companies could start getting involved... which is exactly what this particular stock could do by March 25. Click here for the details. The Sunday Spotlight: Bitcoin, Black Swans, and Market Mayhem CHRIS CAMPBELL Dear Reader, There are bad predictions. There are lucky predictions. And then there’s Josh Mandell. Or, as he’s now known on X: Joshtradamus. Josh just pulled off the financial equivalent of calling a coin flip—except he didn’t just predict heads or tails. He calculated the exact trajectory, wind speed, and molecular makeup of the air it would spin through… Then yelled “Edge!” Months before the coin actually landed on its edge. But instead of a quarter, it was Bitcoin. Specifically, he predicted Bitcoin’s price—down to the cent. Down to the second. Months in advance. If you’re not impressed, I assume you’re currently operating from a timeline where precognition is not much to write home about. (In which case, please DM me next week’s lottery numbers.)

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The Call That Shouldn’t Have Been Possible Specifically, Mandell said, months in advance, that Bitcoin would close at exactly $84,000 on March 14, 2025 (Pi Day). Where did it close? Well, the exact closing price depends on the specific data source or exchange used… But a couple did hit the $84,000 mark on the nose… And the average seems to be around $83,998. If you’ve ever traded, you know that even the best analysts give predictions with wide margins. Maybe Bitcoin would hit $80,000 in Q1. Possibly $100,000 sometime in 2025. But Mandell? He gave a precise date, price, and time—down to the minute. And then, impossibly, Bitcoin did that…. The odds of this happening randomly are approximately one in "don’t be ridiculous." Obviously, people scrambled for explanations. How did he know? No market manipulation could have engineered this (right?). Traders obsess over ranges, support levels, resistance points. No one predicts exact numbers. The X-Twittersphere has settled on four distinct possibilities: He’s a time traveler He’s a market insider We live in a simulation He found a four-leaf clover Mandell, for his part, doesn’t help dispel the mystery. He plays into it, dropping cryptic hints. He talks about “memories of something that happened 30 years ago,” implying he’s seen this before. He retweets theories on quantum physics, the multiverse, and numerology, hinting that some are “getting warm.” (His next prediction? $100,000… and then, it seems, $440,000.) It’s a rabbit hole. One, for sanity’s sake, we can’t afford to travel too deep down this week. Until next time, Chris Campbell for Truth & Trends

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