Hey there, Nil!
Markets are feeling a bit of financial heartburn this morning as rising bond yields and tax bill debates weigh on investors' appetites. After the S&P 500's six-day winning streak got snapped yesterday, let's dig into what's cooking across the financial landscape! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- Ukraine pitches tougher Russia sanctions plan to EU as U.S. wavers
- Suicide blast targeting school bus kills five in Pakistan's Balochistan
- Iran parliament approves strategic pact with Russia
- Pakistan and China agree to deepen trade, maintain close communication
- China expresses "serious concern" over the U.S. Golden Dome defense system
- Airstrikes kill dozens in Gaza as international criticism grows
- Putin visits the Kursk region for the first time since ejecting Ukrainian forces
- Turkey in nuclear plant talks with Canadian company Candu
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Chef's Pick: Photronics - A Tasty Semiconductor Play |
Construction Partners is showing strong momentum, driven by high demand, strategic acquisitions, and a $2.84B backlog. With a record 12.1% EBITDA margins and rising profitability, the stock remains attractive despite its 45x forward earnings valuation. Continued expansion beyond the Southeast keeps the growth story intact. (Price at call: $102, Current Price: $101.85, Analyst expectation: $120) |
Photronics Inc. (NASDAQ: PLAB) Photronics is serving up an appetizing growth story with strong exposure to AI and advanced semiconductor packaging trends. With a shift to high-end photomasks (now 39% of IC revenue, up from 36% in FY24) and expanding gross margins (35.6% in Q1 FY25), analysts see the market underestimating PLAB's earnings power from AI demand and their $200M capacity expansion plan. (Current price: $20.43, Analyst expectation long term: $25) |
Treasury Yield Response Strategy: U.S. debt has been selling off as the Republican tax bill potentially adds $3.3 trillion to the deficit over a decade. Recipe: With 10-year Treasury yield climbing to 4.522% and today's 20-year bond sale attracting extra attention, consider diversifying fixed income exposure and monitoring ING analyst Benjamin Schroeder's warning that "market discussion can remain centered on the US fiscal trajectory." Dollar Weakness Positioning: The DXY dollar index has dropped to 99.65, a two-week low. Recipe: With G7 finance ministers meeting this week and potential discussions between Japan's Finance Minister and U.S. Treasury Secretary, consider exposure to international equities that benefit from dollar weakness and monitor for any comments suggesting the Trump administration favors a softer greenback. Home Builder Selective Exposure: Despite industry headwinds, Toll Brothers reported strong Q2 results with $2.71B home sales revenue exceeding $2.47B guidance. Recipe: Consider selective exposure to luxury homebuilders serving higher-income customers who remain resilient despite mortgage rate pressures, rather than broad housing market plays, which face continuing store traffic declines of 3-4%. Semiconductor High-End Segment Focus: Photronics demonstrates the value of targeting high-end semiconductor segments amid mainstream weakness. Recipe: Look for companies with an increasing mix of high-value products (like PLAB's shift to high-end photomasks) that provide margin protection and reduced competitive pressure, particularly those supporting AI/advanced packaging that can maintain pricing power. Retailer Tariff Strategy Navigation: With Target and Lowe's reporting earnings today, tariff impact commentary will be closely watched. Recipe: After Home Depot surprisingly said prices would stay unchanged despite tariffs, monitor retailer earnings calls for divergent tariff-response strategies and favor companies with supply chain flexibility, margin strength, and pricing power to absorb potential cost increases. |
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Investment Bite: AJNA BioSciences Alternative Investment Spotlight |
AJNA BioSciences is raising capital through a Reg CF offering at $4.83/share with a $125.03 million valuation. The company develops botanical drugs for FDA approval, targeting Central Nervous System disorders with a focus on psilocybin and cannabinoid therapies. With over $27 million raised to date for lab development and pipeline advancement, AJNA aims to bridge the gap between botanical medicine and FDA-approved pharmaceuticals within the $678 billion U.S. pharmaceutical industry. Their first drug candidate, AJA001, has received FDA clearance for Phase 2 clinical trials in autism patients, while their second candidate for Generalized Anxiety Disorder is moving toward Phase 1 trials. Founded by the team behind Charlotte's Web (which scaled to $75M in annual revenue before IPO), AJNA is led by CEO Joel Stanley along with medical advisors from prestigious institutions including NYU, Harvard, and Johns Hopkins. The company's 13,500 sq. ft. DEA Schedule 1-registered lab enables the development of botanical psychedelic compounds in compliance with federal regulations. Key Investment Details: - Offering Type: Equity (Series A Preferred Stock)
- Price Per Share: $4.83
- Valuation: $125.03 million
- Funding Goal: $50K - $1M
- Deadline: July 29, 2025
- Minimum Investment: $497.49
- Maximum Investment: $999,998.37
- Risk Level: Speculative, illiquid investment with high risk of loss
Investor Considerations: - Early mover in FDA-approved botanical pharmaceuticals under 2016 regulatory guidance
- Holds rare DEA Schedule 1 bulk manufacturing registration for psychedelic research
- Pipeline targeting major markets including Autism, Anxiety, and PTSD
- The pharmaceutical industry is showing increased interest in botanical medicine, with comparable acquisitions like Jazz Pharmaceuticals' $7.2B purchase of GW Pharmaceuticals
- Operates in a highly regulated space with stringent requirements, creating barriers to entry
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USD – - Crude Oil Inventories
- Actual: -0.9M | Previous: 3.5M
- FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
- FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
Key Ingredients: With minimal economic data releases today, market participants are focused on the Republican tax bill's progression through Congress, which analysts warn could add $3.3 trillion to the deficit over a decade despite White House claims of deficit reduction. Major earnings expected today: - Target
- Lowe's
- TJX Cos.
- Snowflake
- Medtronic
- Baidu
- Zoom Communications
- XPeng
- Urban Outfitters
- VF Corp.
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Trump Unveils $175B Missile Defense Plan: President announces "Golden Dome" initiative incorporating U.S. weaponry in space, projecting full operation by 2029 despite officials suggesting partial readiness is more realistic. Wolfspeed Shares Collapse on Bankruptcy News: Semiconductor firm's stock plummeted 40% after hours following WSJ report of imminent bankruptcy filing, with approximately $6.5B in debt after earlier restructuring attempts apparently faltered. ECB Confident in Fed Dollar Supply: European Central Bank VP says there's "no doubt" the Federal Reserve will continue providing dollar liquidity abroad, despite recent questions about Fed independence following Trump's criticisms. Medtronic Plans Diabetes Business Spinoff: Medical device maker reportedly preparing to separate diabetes division into stand-alone company led by division head Que Dallara, with completion expected within 18 months. UK Inflation Spikes Higher Than Expected: British inflation jumped to 3.5% in April (highest in over a year), exceeding 3.3% forecast as utility bills increased, complicating Bank of England rate cut considerations. Germany's Economy Forecast to Stagnate: Government advisers predict zero growth in 2025 and just 1% in 2026, downgrading a previous 0.4% growth estimate as tariffs and trade tensions weigh on Europe's largest economy. Paris Overtakes London as Tech Hub: French capital beats London for the first time on key metrics, with Paris startups' enterprise value increasing 5.3 times since 2017 compared to London's 4.2 times, according to Dealroom data. Rosneft Takes Control of Rare Earth Deposit: Russia's largest oil producer acquires Tomtor, the country's largest rare earth metal deposit, after Putin urged accelerated development to reduce reliance on Chinese imports. |
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A home warranty plan could save you thousands in repairs |
Did you know replacing your HVAC could cost more than $10,000? Considering normal wear and tear on items such as your water heater and A/C aren't covered by most home insurance policies, a home warranty could be a smart move. These plans help pay for the repair and replacement costs when covered systems and appliances stop working or break down. For a small monthly payment, you can protect your home without worrying about a broken A/C in the middle of summer. View Money's Best Home Warranties list to find options with A+ BBB ratings and exclusive discounts. |
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Toll Brothers (TOL ⬆️ 5%): Luxury homebuilder serving up tasty Q2 results and reaffirming its FY2025 outlook despite softer housing demand. Expects Q3 deliveries of 2,800-3,000 homes with average price of $965K-$985K, while maintaining full-year guidance of 11,200-11,600 deliveries. Keysight Technologies (KEYS ⬆️ 6%): This testing equipment maker delivered better-than-expected Q2 results and reiterated a 5-7% full-year growth forecast. Q3 guidance of $1.31B-$1.33B revenue was slightly ahead of the $1.3B estimate, with the CEO noting a healthy pipeline despite macroeconomic headwinds. Palo Alto Networks (PANW ⬇️ 4%): Cybersecurity provider slides despite beating FQ3 expectations with 15% revenue growth. Q4 guidance of $2.49B-$2.51B revenue aligns with estimates, while adjusted EPS outlook of $0.87-$0.89 slightly tops consensus, but investors seemingly wanted more flavor. Take-Two Interactive (TTWO ⬇️ 4%): Gaming company losing steam after announcing a $1B public offering of common stock with an additional $150M option for underwriters. Proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes, including potential debt repayment and acquisitions. Wolfspeed (WOLF ⬇️ 54%): Chip component maker crumbling after Wall Street Journal reported the company is preparing to file for bankruptcy in the coming weeks amid struggles with $6.5B debt. Shares initially fell 10% during regular trading before plummeting further after hours. Tesla (TSLA ⬆️ 0.6%): EV maker getting a small taste of recovery after CEO Elon Musk indicated commitment to the company for at least five more years and plans to step back from political spending. Musk also confirmed a June launch for the robotaxi service in Austin, though rollout will be slow. Nvidia (NVDA ⬇️ 0.9%): AI chip giant cooling slightly after CEO Jensen Huang criticized U.S. export curbs on China, calling the measures "a failure." Huang had previously warned that the restrictions could take a $15 billion bite out of revenue. Alphabet (GOOGL ⬆️ 0.5%): Google parent warming up after announcing AI integration into search with new "AI Mode" at developers conference. However, many announced AI products won't be served until a few months later, leaving investors waiting for the full meal. |
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ETF Gainers: - Tradr 2X Long QBTS Daily ETF (⬆️ 51.85%)
- Adriatic Metals PLC CDI (⬆️ 18.16%)
- ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (⬆️ 17.06%)
- MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETN (⬆️ 9.07%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (⬆️ 8.90%)
ETF Losers: - Coronado Global Resources Inc. CDI (⬇️ 19.10%)
- ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (⬇️ 17.40%)
- GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF (⬇️ 9.29%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF (⬇️ 9.22%)
- MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Inverse Leveraged ETN (⬇️ 8.99%)
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - Ukraine to Ask EU to Lead on Russia Sanctions as US Wavers - Reuters
- Blast Targeting School Bus Kills Four Children in Pakistan's Balochistan - Reuters
- Iran's Parliament Approves Strategic Pact with Russia - Reuters
- Pakistan, China Agree to Maintain Close Communication - Reuters
- China Urges U.S. to Abandon Global Anti-Missile System Development - Reuters
- Israeli Strikes Kill Dozens in Gaza as Criticism of Israel Grows - Reuters
- Putin Visits Kursk Region for First Time Since Ejecting Ukrainian Forces - Reuters
- Turkey in Nuclear Plant Talks with Candu Energy, Minister Says - Reuters
- Top ETF Movers - WSJ
- Trump Unveils Vision for $175B 'Golden Dome' Missile Defense - Seeking Alpha
- Wolfspeed Craters Following Potential Bankruptcy Report - Seeking Alpha
- Biggest Stock Movers Wednesday: PANW, TOL and More - Seeking Alpha
- Photronics: AI-Driven Photomask Upside – Initiate Strong Buy - Seeking Alpha
- ECB Has No Doubt Fed Will Continue Cautious Path - Yahoo Finance
- Medtronic to Separate Diabetes Business – WSJ - Yahoo Finance
- UK Inflation Rises to Highest in Over a Year - Yahoo Finance
- Germany's Economy to Stagnate as Tariffs Cast Shadow - Yahoo Finance
- Paris Named Europe's Leading Tech Hub - Yahoo Finance
- Dollar Extends Slide as G7 Talks Weigh In - Yahoo Finance
- Rosneft Takes Control of Russia's Largest Oil Terminal - Yahoo Finance
- AJNA Biosciences Offering - StartEngine
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