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2011/07/05

The Bulls Still Have Work to Do

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Wyatt Investment ResearchDaily Profit

Tuesday July 5, 2011

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An Exclusive "Sneak Peek"

The Chart of the Day


Fellow Investor,

I received a number of emails from Daily Profit readers yesterday and this morning regarding the TradeMaster Half Off sale. Specifically some readers wrote in because travel plans for the holiday weekend prevented them for signing up. And others wanted a "sneak peek" at the service.

Well, here's both: we're extending the sale one more day. You can sign up here.

For those who want more of a free sample, today's Daily Profit is taken directly from this morning's TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts. Each morning, before the market opens, Jason Cimpl of TradeMaster brings subscribers up to speed on what's going on the market and what he's looking at for profitable trades. Please enjoy today's edition with Jason's compliments.

Best Regards,

Ian Wyatt
Editor
Daily Profit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Fellow TradeMaster Reader,

The market blasted higher last week. In fact, most indices were up over 5% on the week. And all of the bearish rhetoric over the past two months disappeared along with the losses incurred over that time. In last week's quick burst higher the indices managed to erase eight weeks of decline.

But the bulls still have work left to do. The rally last week was impressive, but obstacles remain in place and the bears will likely return soon.

In the weekend video, I mention in greater detail the kind of challenges the indices face. But the short version is that every sector is within one percent of a major resistance zone. Additionally, the rally from last week pushed the indices into overbought extremes.

While the market could push higher from here, I think some kind of pull back is likely first. I think the pull back should be fairly mild, and it will resemble consolidation before earnings season gets underway next week. But there is always the possibility that the market turns hard at resistance and falls all the way back down to 1280/1250 support.
 

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Open Positions

Ticker

Buy
Date

Buy
Price

Position

ENTG

5/27

$8.87

Long

HELE

6/16

$31.67

Long

WRES

6/16

$3.52

Long

GBG

6/27

$1.97

Long

       

Recently Closed Positions

Ticker

Position

Sell Date

Return

BGZ

Long

4/1

-1%

SRS

Long

6/29

-0%

JOEZ

Long

6/24

+16%

MTW

Long

6/24

-7%

NOG

Long

6/17

+0.4%

MMR

Long

6/13

-7%

SWK

Short

6/13

+9.2%

DXD

Long

6/13

-4%

SMN

Long

6/13

+6.1%

MU

Long

6/8

-10%

ADPI

Long

6/6

-4%

QPSA

Long

6/2

+6.3%

AXK

Long

5/31

+30.3%

JBL

Long

5/24

-0%

BEAT

Long

5/24

+8.3%

View All Positions

 

I do not think the market will fall back to that support area over the next few weeks. But until the indices can take-out overhead resistance that was established in May, the market is prone to a reversal.

One area of the market that we will be focused on this week, today especially, is gold. The yellow metal remains in an amazing long term bullish trend, but as we saw in the video this weekend, it needs to find support very soon. In fact, unless it can blast higher today, it is likely to fall another 5%.

I am banking on a gold, and silver, recovery. And I think that recovery will happen soon. As a bonus to all TradeMaster readers, because this could be a big opportunity, I have constructed a special report on gold and silver miners to buy as commodity prices recover. The report was sent out to subscribers last week and it can also be viewed at our homepage.

The bulls have recovered a large portion of an eight week decline that began in May. While the recovery from the lows looks promising, substantial resistance is expected in the near term for nearly all sectors. The weekend video "Index Review" goes over resistance levels to watch for the week and I encourage all members to watch the video over the weekend to prepare for the new week.


Current Stops (7/1 updated)

These positions will only be sold if the stock closes below each stop.
There is no magical rule for stop losses, only use what is comfortable for you. I like to setup with closing price just above/below a resistance/support zone, but many others prefer limit/market stops or trailing stops, please give each for a test drive and go with the one that makes the most sense to your style.

HELE - The stock has done well despite a weak market and weak consumer. Shares rallied hard off $29 support but could not find the momentum to get over the $33 hump. I think that if the market recovers shares should pop 15% higher with the chance of $40 if earnings come in strong next quarter, the stop loss is $32.76.

WRES - It is tough to say if WRES has bottomed, but I think it is very near one. The $3.40 area was steady resistance for most of 2010, but in October, shares broke past that price and ramped to $6 before coming back down to $3.40. I would expect WRES to find immediate support and rally up to $4.15, $3.39 is the stop.

ENTG - target is $11.75 with a stop loss of $9.81

GBG - stop loss $1.88

I recommend that all subscribers read the past few daily comments before they trade. The market evolves each day and my short-term analysis will also change. But the big story trends do not change as frequently and they are not always included in each morning alert. The archives can be found on the website here.


We always enjoy hearing from you about your recent trades and product suggestions at tradedesk@trademasterstocks.com.


SPX intraday levels to watch this week

1377 is resistance

1332 is resistance

1301 is resistance

1280 is support

1250 is a major support level

1225 is support

1197 is major support

1175 is a major support level

1155
is support

1131 is support

1115 is a support level

1100 is support

1085
is support

1019 is major support


Best Regards,


Jason Cimpl, Research Analyst
TradeMaster Daily Stock Alerts


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