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2011/08/22

Wanted: Better Data, Not QE3


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Monday August 22, 2011

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End of the Selling?


QE3 Won't Help


The Importance of Durable Goods




Fellow Investor,

Stocks are up today, so far. Speculation that the Fed will not be able to resist more quantitative easing is putting a floor under stock prices. And the news that Qaddafi is just about defeated in Libya is helping the good vibes.

But clearly, this market will need more than speculation about the Fed and the easing of some geopolitical tension.

We need some economic data to show a little growth, and ease the worries that the U.S. economy is slipping back into recession.

In general, recessions are caused by shocks to the economy that put fear into consumers and corporations alike. The resulting layoffs and tighter spending habits cause the economy to move in reverse.

We have not been hit by such a shock recently (even though the situation in Europe could become one). The issue today is that growth is so weak, even a cyclical decline in economic activity could put us back into recession.

Still, the odds of this type of cyclical recession are small. It's the debt issues in Europe and their effect on European bank balance sheets that's the problem.

European banks hold of sovereign debt. And if that debt gets restructured, already weak banks will take losses and become weaker, perhaps to the point that they have to raise cash on the open market.

It's being reported today that U.S. banks and corporations borrowed $1.2 trillion in emergency loans from the Fed during the financial crisis. Without that capital, it should be clear the crisis would have been far worse...
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Ignore this News if You Support Vladimir Putin

Shadow president of Russia Vladimir Putin has for the past decade used Russia's vast pool of fossil fuel resources to dictate policy in Europe. He's cowered all but his staunchest critics by threatening-and even acting on those threats-to turn off the gas and oil spigot.

But there's new player in town ready to exploit a newly found treasure of natural gas.

In fact, this country has an estimated 48 trillion cubic feet of natural gas right under its feet-all of it outside of Putin's reach. It's invited a top tier North American company to extract that gas and create energy independence. This company is trading for around $5.00, making it an attractive portfolio addition for any serious investor.

Click here to find out how you can tap into this growth story.

 


Market Snapshot

US Markets - August 19 Close

Dow Jones

10,817.65

-173

(-1.57%)

S&P 500

1,123.53

-17.12

(-1.50%)

Nasdaq

2,341.84

-38.59

(-1.62%)

Currencies

EUR/USD

1.437

-0.002

(-0.171%)

USD/JPY

76.765

+0.225

(+0.294%)

GBP/USD

1.657

-0.003

(-0.02%)


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