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2011/08/30

What the Fed is Waiting For


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Tuesday August 30, 2011

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Hurricane Damage


Jason Cimpl on the Rally


Monetary and Fiscal Stimulus?




Fellow Investor,

So, let me start today by offering my apologies if you had difficulty getting Daily Profit or any of our other letters yesterday. The Wyatt Investment Research offices in Vermont were inaccessible. Here's a photo tweeted by WPTZ NewsChannel 5's Jill Glavan yesterday:



That's exit 11 off highway I-89 to Richmond, Vermont. We're used to getting around on skis, snowshoes and snowmobiles. But boats? Not so much.

I'm grateful that none of my staff suffered any major damage or injury, and I certainly hope Daily Profit readers were spared anything more than inconvenience.

Now, let's get back to business.

I asked my colleague over at TradeMaster, Jason Cimpl, for his take on the recent stock market action. From his TradeMaster morning alert:

"I noted, over the past few weeks, the clear bottoming pattern and institutional buying activity that occurred near 1115 SPX price support. I cautioned against shorts at that level and believed we would get another rally to 1197 or higher.

Clearly we got the "higher" but as I alluded to in the morning email I can't be sure why SPX continues to rally. The fundamentals of a slow growth economy and lack of confidence in the government took U.S. indices lower earlier this August. And that hasn't changed.

Yet the way the market has rallied over the past few days resembles a bull market. In fact, ignoring the fundamentals of the economy and focusing only on the chart setup, yesterday's break out past 1197 set up a move that would target 1262 before any significant (3-5 days) consolidation. But why?

The FOMC minutes will be released later today. I think there might be some speculation that Bennie and the Feds are more prepared to offer the market freebies quicker than their speech at Jackson Hole implied...
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Market Snapshot

US Markets - August 29 Close

Dow Jones

11,539.25

+255

(+2.26%)

S&P 500

1,210.08

+33.28

(+2.83%)

Nasdaq

2,562.11

+82.26

(+3.32%)

Currencies

EUR/USD

1.442

-0.009

(-0.621%)

USD/JPY

76.705

-0.15

(-0.195%)

GBP/USD

1.631

-0.011

(-0.665%)


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