Monday, December 2, 2013 Three Stocks Set to Soar in 2014 Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club | By the time you read this I will be gallivanting around Zurich for The Oxford Club's European Opportunity Expedition. I'm taking a group of investors to Europe to explore unique investments. Most investors still haven't warmed up to Europe. It hasn't been that long since daily headlines featured the impending economic collapse of Greece, Cyprus and Spain. And while those countries are clearly not economic utopias, they haven't gone over the cliff either. The unemployment rate in Greece is still a staggering 27.3%. Spain's isn't much better at 26.4%. In the eurozone, joblessness is still at record highs in the double digits. Several economies are still in recession. So it's no wonder that investors are avoiding Europe. In a CNBC poll, only 11% of respondents said they are considering investing in Europe. But as I recently told CNBC's Amanda Drury, I zig when others zag. I don't want to buy a stock (or a market) when everyone is talking about it. I want it when everyone is running away scared. As Warren Buffett said, "be greedy when others are fearful." A Contrarian's Dream Come True So I'm excited to be in Europe, because I think it's home to better investment opportunities than the U.S. Consider: - The Bloomberg European 500 Index (BE500) trades at a P/E of 21 versus 16 for the S&P 500, but on a forward basis is 15 versus 16. That suggests earnings in Europe are projected to grow faster than in the U.S. It also implies that European stocks are cheaper than American stocks relative to their growth.
- The price-to-book ratio of the BE500 is 1.78 versus 2.6 for the S&P 500. According to book value, Europe is cheaper.
- There are 21 companies in the S&P 500 trading below book value, but 63 companies in the BE500 below book value.
A stock that trades below book value means that if management were to liquidate the company, shareholders would receive more per share than they currently do in the market. In other words, the shares are trading at less than their intrinsic value. There are quite a few financial names such as Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) among the list of European stocks trading below book value. And ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT), the Luxembourg-based steel company, trades below $17 but its book value per share is over $27. French water utility Veolia Environnement (NYSE: VE) sports a 4.7% dividend yield but trades at just 0.8 times its book value. Both the S&P 500 and the BE500 have had stellar years, with the S&P up 31% over the past year, while its European cousins lagged at 23%. I expect European stocks to outperform in 2014. In fact, in the upcoming Oxford Income Letter, which will be out on Wednesday, I recommend an out-of-favor, Europe-based dividend payer that yields 4.7%. I've been watching the stock for 15 years and only now am pulling the trigger on it. To try out The Oxford Income Letter risk-free, click here. I'm going to continue to hunt for attractive undervalued European stocks. But that will have to wait until tomorrow. Right now, there's a fondue with my name on it and a yodeling festival to get to. | | | | | | Click here to post a comment on WealthyRetirement.com | | You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Wealthy Retirement. To unsubscribe from Wealthy Retirement, click here
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