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| | A New Week | | Now that the Holy Week for many people has passed, with a closed-day last Friday, we will be starting a new full week Monday. And that sounds like a good thing since last week ended on a serious slowdown of both volume and volatility. The coming week, however, doesn't offer many surprises; but then again - I guess that's what makes surprises. We never really know. Monday gives us the LEI, which is a FED-controlled data point, that makes it irrelevant in my opinion but will come out at 10am ET, if you're interested. Tuesday gives us housing information; FHFA at 9am EST, and Existing home sales at 10am ET. Oh, but if you needed more B-level info, Richmond Mfg Index comes out at 10am ET. *** As this new time on the calendar grinds-on, we will find out - SADLY - that the new week is the old week: nothing has changed. Whether your religion likes the tax-and-spender clowns or the lower-tax & more-war clowns is irrelevant; unfortunately, neither side gets to win. Both sides continue to be fed more drivel of how this week is special, but sadly it isn't. Whatever "economic" data we read over the coming 5 days will be muted, I'm sure. The remaining week's economic data can be found on your favorite blog, which will surely include Friday's Consumer Sentiment data at 9:55am ET. This week - do something different. ANYTHING. Make it a NEW WEEK. | | | | | | | | |
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| | The markets were choppy at the end of last week, as trading was fairly flat after the initial rush of volume early on. Facing a long 3 day weekend, traders waited until the last second to liquidate positions. Overall, the markets reflected the choppy trading conditions. With the rising geo-political situation at hand, traders were afraid of carrying over their position, just in case a war did break out in Ukraine. | | | | | | | | |
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| TECHNICAL DATA | ES | 1861.00/1853.00 | | POC | 1857.25 | | YM | 16365/16323 | | NQ | 3533.50/3514.00 | | | | |
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| | Let's delve a bit further into skew. We talked yesterday how a typical equity skew curve has a positive put skew and a negative call skew due to the forces of supply and demand. This is not always the case though. Either the type of business a company is involved in or where in the earnings cycle we are can really make the skew a very fluid proposition to trade and we must be aware of the forces at work. Let's take a couple of examples. First, let's look at Amarin Corporation plc (AMRN) is a late-stage biopharmaceutical company with expertise in lipid science focused on the treatment of cardiovascular disease | | | | | | | | |
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The hypothetical signal results shown above represent signals offered in real time in the training room. A signal does not get posted unless there is a reasonable likelihood that if an order had been placed it would have been executed. Further, adjustments are made to simulate the costs of commissions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The posted information is shown for educational purposes only and no signal shown was actually executed as a trade.
Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those talked about in our site. | | | | | |
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