This week's reason to worry for Wall Street may be Iraq. We already know that the Islamist group known as ISIS is trying to take over Iraq, and the following may make it easier: there is chaos in Baghdad.
From the online WSJ...
BAGHDAD—Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki denounced Iraq's president on national television Sunday for failing to nominate him for another term as prime minister, as security forces deployed in unusual numbers throughout the capital.
It was unclear early Monday how far Mr. Maliki intended to press his concerns; he said only that he would take the newly elected President Fuad Masum to court for allegedly violating the constitution.
But his fiery tone, history of obstinance and the surprising deployment of security forces in Baghdad sparked whispers that the prime minister may intend to cling to power by force. That could throw further political instability on a country already cleaved apart by a powerful Islamist uprising.
"We have noticed suspicious security movements in Baghdad, distribution for forces and tanks which if persist can be considered a coup," a former senior Kurdish official involved in the negotiations said. "So far, we haven't reached that point. It's only Maliki showing his muscles."
"The president has violated the constitution twice: once when he extended the deadline to assign the prime minister after Thursday, August 7, and the second time when he refused to assign the post to the candidate from the State of Law bloc, the biggest bloc in parliament," Mr. Maliki said. "I formally will submit a complaint to the high federal court against the president."
This news will probably have to get worse before the market cares, because it is going higher this evening. Is this really a coup as some have said? Will this bring the US military back into Iraq? Only time will tell.
The major averages rebounded strong to finish off the week. With all three major averages bouncing higher off of profit taking and short term buyers, we saw an extension that was suppressed by sellers earlier in the week. We could have a nice rebound on Monday if there isn't any major geopolitical news. If so, there is great value to buy on the dip. I would remain a short term buyer for now, but there is opportunity and profits to be had. Look for a gap open Monday, otherwise look for a bounce to help launch the markets higher.
Play to your strengths. That does not mean to ignore your weaknesses. This is very important to identify. Let's take a look at a very real example we have been working on in class today and yesterday in Melco Crown Gaming (MPEL). The Company, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the gaming and hospitality business. The Company is a developer, owner and, through its subsidiary Melco Crown Gaming, operator of casino gaming and entertainment resort facilities focused on the Macau market. This sector has been red hot up until recently when it had been reported by Hedgeye that " The consensus estimate for 30% growth in the Macau mass market segment during 2H is too high, a deceleration in mass market revenue growth is a growing concern in the sector as traffic levels out and much of the bullish optimism on Macau is focused on the untapped potential of mass market with the VIP segment already showing slower growth trends.
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Keep a civil tongue.