| November 19, 2014 | Archives | Unsubscribe | | | | | |
 | | | | Are You Brave Enough to Double Your Money in One Year? | | | - One gutsy trade
- Buying a "hated stock"
- Plus: Who's manipulating this stock?
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| | | Greg Guenthner coming to you from Baltimore, MD...  | | Greg Guenthner | The blockbuster trades take the most guts.
As a dude by the name of Joseph Campbell once said, "The cave you fear to enter holds the treasure you seek."
Damn straight...
And today we're going to see if you've got the guts to pull the trigger on a trade that could double your money by this time next year. I'll tell you what it is in just a minute...
It's so tempting to run with the herd. And sometimes, it can produce fantastic trades. You ride the wave of hype and hope--and cash out somewhere along the way when the party starts getting a little crazy.
Then there are the "hate trades". These are the stocks that your worst enemy wouldn't wish on you. They've been heaved out of a third-story window, run over in the street, and given last rites. Not even the most diligent value investor can find a pulse...
But listen, fortunes are made from these trades. They're the trades that can make your year--or even pile up an entire decade's worth of gains. If you have the guts to grab these potential turnarounds in the early stages, you could easily ride some of the biggest waves you will ever see. And that's what we're looking at today with one of the most hated stocks out there. I'm talking about Alcoa.
Let me explain...
Yes, in late September 2013, Alcoa Inc. was dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The aluminum manufacturer had been a Dow component for 54 years. But its low share price had become a bit of a problem for the Dow (which, unlike the S&P 500, is a price-weighted index). That means that toward the end of its run, even a major move in Alcoa shares barely registered on the Dow. In that sense, the company had become irrelevant.
So Alcoa got the boot. The stock was already considered a joke. It never beat earnings expectations and shares always seemed to find lower ground. No one took the stock seriously. And that's the best thing that ever happened to it...
Alcoa's expulsion was the final straw for this stock. Every last bull was chased from the barn. The running of the bulls was just the spark the stock needed to begin a new rally. September 2013 was the bottom. From there, a massive change in trend helped carry this stock to gains of more than 102% in a little more than a year...
I alerted you to this move back on January 15th. I said that unlike many stocks on the market, Alcoa had yet to come close to its pre-financial crisis highs. The breakout was changing that fact. And even after its massive run, this stock is nowhere near its 2008 high water mark north of $40...
Now the good news...
I believe Alcoa's rally to its old 2008 highs begins today. Even if you missed the first signs of this massive trend change last year... Even if you failed to buy when I wrote you again back in January... And even though AA has already handed patient investors more than 120% in just 14 months... You have the perfect opportunity to play the new breakout in Alcoa stock right now... and potentially double your money over the next year.
Settled down yet? Good. Now let's see if you have the guts to make the right move... | | | | | | | | | Your future is already written Science has discovered how to determine which diseases you are most susceptible to. What diseases you are most likely to die of. It's not theory. There is a company right now manufacturing and distributing a device that could read your future. Investors, of course, are having a field day buying up its shares. To discover how you might gain access to this device… click here now! | | | | | | | |  | | | | Rude Numbers | Targets, Predictions and Wild Guesses
| | | | $1,197 | is where you'll find gold futures this morning. The yellow metal is just below $1,200 for the second straight day... | | $4.39 | is the price of natural gas today. Natty is back in action as freezing temps hit the East Coast... | | $75.04 | buys a barrel of crude early this morning. Oil is sneaking back above $75 after taking another hit yesterday... | | $3.04 | is the price of copper this morning. Dr. Copper is fighting to stay above $3 again after failing earlier this week... | | 2,046 | marks the spot for S&P futures Stocks are looking to start their day just in the red... | | | |  | | | | Rude Trends | When to Buy... When to Sell
| | | "You expected Amazon to go lower (so did I)," writes a curious reader. "Do you have any way to see if price is manipulated?"
Manipulating a $149 billion stock like Amazon would be quite the undertaking. About $1.5 billion worth of Amazon shares exchange hands every single day. This isn't some thinly-traded penny stock we're talking about here...
So no, I don't think anyone is "manipulating" Amazon higher or lower. Yes, the stock is up over the past three weeks. But here are a couple of things to keep in mind: 1. Everything's up (the rising tide is lifting all boats) 2. Despite the fact that Amazon shares are highs, the stock continues to underperform the major averages and is down more than 18% year-to-date.
That doesn't look like a stock I want to own heading into the holidays. There are plenty of stronger names out there... [Ed. Note: Send your feedback here: rude@agorafinancial.com - and follow me on Twitter: @GregGuenthner] | | |  | | | | Ignore At Your Own Peril | Today's Must Read Links | | | | | | | | | BE SURE TO ADD rude@agorafinancial.com to your address book. | | | | | | | Additional Articles & Commentary:
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