| November 5, 2014 | Archives | Unsubscribe | | | | | |
 | | | Elephants, Coal, And Cold, Hard Cash
(The Election Story You're
NOT Being Told) | | | - The GOP writes you a check
- Fueling coal's comeback
- Plus: A contrarian's gold bet...
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| | | Greg Guenthner coming to you from Baltimore, MD...
 | | Greg Guenthner | Politics suck. But this election season, you're getting paid.
The Republicans have won back the Senate. And they're about to hand you a winning trade on a silver platter-- with a bit of soot around the edges.
I'm talking about coal.
Yup, we're going in on coal. And we're probably the only ones with the cojones to do it. That's alright, we don't like crowds anyway...
Look, I don't care if you're a greenie who hates coal with a purple passion. I don't care if you've reduced your carbon footprint to the size of a chipmunk's. If you want to make some real green, it's time to bet on coal.
Now, you might think I'm nuts. And you might insist that coal is an environmental disaster. That's fine. But it doesn't matter if I'm nuts. Here's what does matter - Republican Senator Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma doesn't know (or care) that coal is bad for the environment.
And now that the Republicans have retaken the Senate, Inhofe is the likely choice for chair of the Environment and Public Works Committee, which oversees the Environmental Protection Agency. And Jim Inhofe is a vocal climate change skeptic-- or denier - depending on who you choose to believe.
Once he's in the saddle, you can bet he'll loosen the reins on the coal industry. And as the EPA relaxes its grip on the "polluters," it'll be off to the races for some of the most hated stocks on the market - coal stocks. Here's why this one could be a huge winner for us...
The biggest money is made from hated, beaten-up investments that are beginning to turn around, before anyone notices. And few investments are more hated and beaten-up than coal right now. It's gone nowhere but down for the past three years. In fact, you'd be hard pressed to find anyone talking up coal these days.
But as you'll see in a minute, coal is starting to turn the corner. We've noticed it, but we might be the only ones. And we see coal heading for a major rally - which you can ride it for all it's worth.
Yes, it's true. Over the past three years, coal has been one of the worst dogs going. One of the main reasons? Investors believe the government's been trying to kill it off in favor of greener alternative energy - Obama's favorite. And they've been right...
Back in July, Obama's Environmental Protection Agency announced that power plants must reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide by 30% by 2030. It was a declaration of war on coal. That was the last straw for investors.
I wrote the following back in July, shortly after the EPA ruling...
"Investors hate coal stocks because they've brought them nothing but pain. Environmentalists hate coal because it pollutes. And politicians hate coal because they see an opportunity to jump on the bandwagon and gain some much-needed positive publicity."
Sure enough, the bottom fell just out under coal in late August. And it went into freefall. Take a look for yourself:
Talk about a hard landing! Coal is down about 15% this year alone. The sector has been dropping for nearly three years now, as I mentioned. In fact, since the beginning of 2011, the coal sector has lost more than 60% of its value.
But coal looks like it finally hit rock bottom in October. The political climate is swaying to the right. And as the chart shows, coal already attempting a turnaround. It pulled out of its death spiral about two weeks ago. One of the most hated investments in the world is giving a big "eff you" to the haters.
Politics aside, coal is still a viable (and crucial) source of energy in this country and around the world.
With all this talk of green energy, we still have an enormous need for the sooty stuff in the U.S. Coal still generates about 40% of our electricity. Compare that to alternative energies like wind and solar - wind is responsible for a little over 4% of our electricity generation - and solar about .25 percent. As in, a quarter of one percent.
Listen, coal's not going anywhere for a long time. We need it, it's available for duty, and it looks like it's about to get a friend in a very high place now that Republicans have nabbed the Senate. Add it all up and you have a great chance to steal some serious profits as coal bounces back to realistic levels. | | | | | | | | | A FREE hard copy of our 416-page Laissez Faire's Guide to Happiness has been reserved for you… and I want to make sure you receive it. This incredible new guide is full of useful strategies that are incredibly easy to implement and could have a huge impact on your life, health and wealth in the coming year. Click here now to learn how to get your FREE copy. | | | | | | | |  | | | | Rude Numbers | Targets, Predictions and Wild Guesses
| | | | $1,144 | is where you'll find gold futures this morning. The yellow metal is cratering to being the trading day. it's off by more than 2%... | | $15.37 | marks the spot for silver. The poor man's precious metal is down more than 3.6% in early trading... | | $3.00 | is the price of copper this morning. Dr. Copper is getting dangerously close to its lows as metals fall today... | | $77.59 | buys a barrel of oil this morning. As if commodities didn't have enough to worry about, oil can't seem to regain its footing below $80... | | 2,017 | is where you'll find S&P futures just before the bell. Stocks are looking to open significantly higher this morning... | | | | | | | | Rude Trends | When to Buy... When to Sell
| | | "Forgive me, but I sometimes use your posts as contrarian indicators," writes a brutally honest reader. "Your one on gold recently was an example. Like you, I think gold could easily go to $1000, but it won't go there directly. Right now is a great buying opportunity for a short term trade."
So, you're feeling a bit contrarian this morning?
Fine by me...
As I told you earlier this week, I don't always get it right. I'm not the least bit ashamed to admit it, either. Show me a trader who claims a 100% win rate. I've never met one. And I doubt I ever will. And if anyone ever tells you they've never fudged a trade, they're probably lying thought their teeth.
But hey, as long as you have a plan when you're betting against me--go for it! The worst thing that happens is you get stopped out of a trade. As long as you live to fight another day, you can make all the mistakes you want...
[Ed. Note: Send your feedback here: rude@agorafinancial.com - and follow me on Twitter: @GregGuenthner] | | | | | | | Ignore At Your Own Peril | Today's Must Read Links
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