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2015/08/24

[TA DAILY] Crashing

Late last week the market was weak but supported over and over by the 200-day moving 

 
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Larry's Morning Commentary

Crashing
 
 

Late last week the market was weak but supported over and over by the 200-day moving average.  I've suggested to many that when it finally breaks, the market would surely plummet.  That finally happened Friday with the SPX closing down -64.84 points, the Dow was -530.94 and the Nasdaq COMP was down -171.45.  What's more, as I write this, the ES futures are down ANOTHER -50.00 points!

What's causing the overnight weakness?  Asian markets are plummeting once again.  I found the following chart of different Asian markets that show the free-falls happening there at

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2015/08/another-asia-bloodbath.html

Is the market crashing?  Well, not exactly but it sure is an interesting August for a change.  The S&P500 will be down 10% when it trades 1920.60 and needs to fall all the way to 1707.20 to be considered in bear market territory of down 20% or more.

This could be the beginning of another major route in the markets like 2000 and 2008; however, the Central Planners will surely announce QE4 or something else before that happens.  Either way – expect more volatility!

 

Trade well and follow the trend, not the perma-bull OR perma-bear "experts."

Behold the age of infinite moral hazard! On April 2nd, 2009 CONgress forced FASB to suspend rule 157 in favor of deceitful accounting for the TBTF banking mafia.

 
 
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The selloff continued Friday not only in the US markets, but in the global markets as well. The highly aggressive selling is in fact a breakout out of congestion. As talking heads keep referring to this as buying opportunities, I see it as the opposite. You would buy only if you suspect a rebound is coming soon after. I just don't...

 
 
 
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TECHNICAL DATA
ES 2012.50 / 1977.00
POC

1995.00

YM

16,790 / 16,528

NQ

4331.50 / 4221.00

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I have noticed a lot of emails cycling through my inbox and questions posed by some of my students that are touting the high (almost guaranteed) profits that can be made in credit spreads. Claims like "personal monthly ATM machine", 90% chance of profits, etc. If it is too good to be true, is usually is right? You can be profitable...

 
 
 
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