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2015/08/17

[TA DAILY] Dog Days Of Summer

As we enter the beginning of the end of summer, we expect pretty quiet markets.

 
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Larry's Morning Commentary

Dog Days Of Summer
 
 

As we enter the beginning of the end of summer, we expect pretty quiet markets.  This year it may be a bit different.  We have three major topics to watch this week as most people head to the lake one last time.  We have China, commodities and the Fed.  At least for now, China has stayed pat on their Yuan fix for now printing mildly stronger at 6.3969/dollar after 6.3975 on Friday. Interesting enough though Shanghai margin debt has had it longest rising streak in two months.  Yep, the farmers are releveraging.  Should work out great for them this time!    Next, we have commodities.  The selloff in commodities continues as WTI Crude got into the $41 handle, and copper continues to get drilled:

 

These commodity prices at these levels continue to fuel fears of continued global slowdown.  This brings us to the Fed.  Can the Fed raise rates in this environment of shaky employment, slowing growth overseas and an outright currency war?  We will have to wait until Wednesday afternoon for the Fed minutes to be released.  There we can look for clues as to whether Ms. Yellen and her crew are leaning.  

 

Trade well and follow the trend, not the perma-bull OR perma-bear "experts."

Behold the age of infinite moral hazard! On April 2nd, 2009 CONgress forced FASB to suspend rule 157 in favor of deceitful accounting for the TBTF banking mafia.

 
 
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We capped off a volatile week of trading by closing up for the session on Friday. With trading volume light for the session, we suffered through the upside grind the markets are known for this year. This is leading up to a big week in regards to getting a feel on what the FOMC may or may not do in September. With...

 
 
 
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TECHNICAL DATA
ES 2086.75 / 2078.75
POC

2087.75

YM

17,425 / 17,369

NQ

4525.75 / 4506.75

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There are six major factors that influence option premiums. The factors having the greatest effect are: Underlying price, Strike, Time until expiration and Implied Volatility. Dividends and Interest Rates play a lesser,but material role. Let's look at how interest rates can effect option pricing. When investors...

 
 
 
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