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2024/03/02

An Exciting Investment in Argentina

SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIES

The Oxford Club Special Opportunities

Note From Editorial Director Justin Fritz-Rushing: I was excited to see the topic for the March issue of The Oxford Communiqué was Argentina. It's one of my favorite places I've ever visited. I'm even considering purchasing real estate there if I can find the right opportunity. So I was thrilled when this letter from Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green landed on my desk. Especially when I saw his new stock recommendation. Here's an excerpt from the issue if you want to see for yourself...


Why Argentina's New President Has Me Eyeing This Investment

Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Like you, perhaps, I don't generally follow Argentine politics that closely.

But last fall, I couldn't help but overhear the mainstream media in the U.S. warn about a "crackpot" with crazy hair in Argentina who was running for president and - while waving a chainsaw in the air at rallies - promised to slash the country's bloated government bureaucracy.

Only after Javier Milei won a crushing victory over his Peronist rival Sergio Massa late last year did I start paying closer attention.

And I really liked what I heard.

Milei is intent on igniting an economic revolution in Argentina by sharply reducing the size and control of government through deregulation, privatization and dollarization.

Argentine stocks leapt on news of his victory.

Yet given the country's many long-term problems - and the skepticism of many investors and commentators - they are still among the cheapest in the world. Therein lies opportunity...

Sights Set on South America

When was the last time you heard a genuinely inspiring political speech?

Given the low level of political discourse these days - and high levels of cynicism - many readers might be tempted to say, "Never."

Yet I was truly inspired in January, when Argentina's new president, Javier Milei, addressed the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Here is how he started...

Thanks to free enterprise capitalism, today, the world is at its best. There has never been, in all of human history, a time of greater prosperity than the one we live in today. The world today is freer, richer, more peaceful and more prosperous than at any other time in our history. This is true for everyone, but in particular for those countries that are free, where they respect economic freedom and the property rights of individuals. For those countries that are free are 12 times richer than the repressed ones...

Later in his speech, he pivoted to the pervasive force that pushes back against entrepreneurship and free markets:

It must never be forgotten that socialism is always and everywhere an impoverishing phenomenon that [has] failed in all the countries where it was tried. It was an economic failure. It was a social failure. It was a cultural failure. And it also murdered more than 100 million human beings...

Collectivist experiments are never the solution to the problems afflicting the citizens of the world, but rather - on the contrary - are their cause...

He also finished on an inspiring note:

I would like to leave a message to all the businessmen present here and to those who are watching us from all corners of the planet... Do not surrender to a political class that only wants to perpetuate itself in power and maintain its privileges.

You are social benefactors.

You are heroes.

You are the creators of the most extraordinary period of prosperity we have ever experienced.

Let no one tell you that your ambition is immoral. If you make money, it is because you offer a better product at a better price, thus contributing to the general welfare.

Do not give in to the advance of the state. The state is not the solution. The state is the problem itself.

You are the true protagonists of this story. And know that from today, you have an unwavering ally in the Argentine Republic.

Stirring words... particularly for Argentines.

When Argentina adopted the model of freedom - back in 1860 - it became the world's leading power in just 35 years.

Yet over the last century it embraced collectivism.

As a result, its citizens systematically impoverished themselves until they fell to 140th in the world.

That is set to change with Milei's meteoric rise. A neoclassical economist who found a "superlative conceptual clarity" in the work of Austrian economists Friedrich Hayek and Ludwig von Mises, he was first elected to Congress in November of 2021.

Just two years later - after winning 21 out of 24 provinces against his rival - he was sworn into office as the country's new president on December 10, 2023.

Milei didn't waste time making good on his pledge to limit government. In his first 30 days, he consolidated 18 government ministries into nine, fired 5,000 government bureaucrats, devalued the peso to bring it closer to the black market rate, and introduced a 350-page package of economic reforms that would have made Nobel laureate and Reagan advisor Milton Friedman smile.

Milei understands that the ingredients of a prosperous society are small government, individual liberty, economic and social freedom, and peace.

He has his work cut out for him. There is an array of special interests aligned against him in the legislature. But voters handed him a lopsided victory and are demanding action. Consumer and business confidence is already trending up.

And there's one stock in particular that could be a great way to take advantage of it.

Thriving Under a Milei Presidency

You see, Argentina is home to one of the world's leading oil and gas producers. Sales nearly doubled in the most recent quarter. And profits are likely to more than double in the year ahead.

Yet despite this torrid growth, the stock is a terrific value - trading at less than three times prospective earnings.

The upside here is considerable. And the stock gives us economic, political and international diversification.

To discover the stock - and to learn more about joining my flagship newsletter - go here.

Good investing,

Alex

 

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