Tuesday, July 2, 2024 Warning of a big Labour majority must be working Grant Shapps, the defence secretary, went early with warning against giving Labour a "supermajority" on 13 June, three weeks into the six-week campaign. That the Conservatives are still pushing the line suggests that it must be working in their focus groups.    The Conservatives produced a remarkably negative video this morning, imagining a Labour future of school closures, power cuts, tax rises and ... Angela Rayner.    Rishi Sunak tweeted it, saying: "Forty-eight hours to stop a Starmer supermajority."   Which is interesting, because there is no evidence that "landslides on the whole don't produce successful governments", as Francis Pym, Margaret Thatcher's foreign secretary, said in 1983, days before she won a majority of 144.  Quiz question When was the last time a party leader lost their seat at a general election? Answer at the bottom of today's email Support The Independent At The Independent, nobody tells us what to think; we make up our own mind and aren't afraid to do things differently. Like our readers, we value honesty and integrity above outside influences.   With your support, we challenge the status quo, uncover crucial stories, and amplify unheard voices. If you like what we do, do take out a subscription and help support the best quality online-only journalism. SUBSCRIBE: £1 FOR 6 MONTHS SUBSCRIBE: £1 FOR 6 MONTHS Daily briefing Jacob Rees-Mogg says he wants to build a wall in the English Channel Kate Devlin and I rank the last five leaders of the nation from best to worst  Labour will 'clean up Tory mess' if elected, says Wes Streeting The shadow health secretary also hit back at the 'desperate attack' from the Tories over Keir Starmer's working hours as prime minister Clacton to get US presidential visit if Trump and Farage win – says Reform Peter Harris, Nigel Farage's agent in the constituency, says the town should prepare for President Trump   What else you need to know today I have written an hour-by-hour guide to how to watch the election-night coverage "Gamble-gate" will go down as Rishi Sunak's Covid, argues Andrew Grice Nigel Farage's Reform party is winning the social media battle, Alicja Hagopian, our data correspondent reports You can enter my final-week sweepstake on the election here, free: just enter your guesses for Labour's majority and for the number of Conservative seats; the current average guess is 182 for Keir Starmer's majority, very slightly more than Tony Blair's 179 in 1997, and 129 seats for the Tories The Independent View Emmanuel Macron's gamble will tarnish his legacy and destroy his credibility Politics explained Is there real reason to fear a Labour 'supermajority'? Sean O'Grady argues that a Starmer government with a large majority would be no more or less "unchecked" than Asquith, Attlee, Macmillan, Wilson, Thatcher, Blair or Johnson...   Read more MOST COMMENTED Rishi Sunak attempts to rally Tory voters with threat of a Labour 'supermajority' Tomorrow on the campaign trail Our political commentator Andrew Grice on what to look out for Groundhog Day. Mel Stride, the work and pensions secretary, and Pat McFadden, Labour's campaign co-ordinator, will be on the final morning media round of the campaign.   But the "air war" is virtually over as the parties strain every sinew to get the vote out on Thursday. On the last day of campaigning, Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer will clock up hundreds of miles. Their visits to seats with large Conservative majorities tell us what they really think about the likely outcome.   The campaign for the Waspi women, who had to wait another five or six years for their state pension, will publish a list of 200 candidates who support their claim for compensation.    The Institute for Government will hold an online discussion at 1pm about what happens on the first day of a new government.  QUOTE OF THE DAY "I have nothing against expanding airport capacity. I want Heathrow to be that European hub for travel"   Rachel Reeves, shadow chancellor   Quiz answer: Jo Swinson, Liberal Democrat, 2019 The Independent proudly partners with Refuge and the National Domestic Abuse Helpline: 0808 2000 247 Join the conversation or follow us Download the free Independent app Please do not reply directly to this email   You are currently registered to receive The Independent's View From Westminster newsletter.   To unsubscribe from The Independent's View From Westminster newsletter, or to manage your email preferences please click here.   This e-mail was sent by Independent Digital News and Media Ltd, 14-18 Finsbury Square, London EC2A 1AH. Registered in England and Wales with company number 07320345 Read our privacy notice and cookie policy