Good timing: labour market statistics issued at 7am will give the government some ammunition as it defends the decision to means-test the winter fuel allowance for pensioners. The earnings growth figures will probably mean a generous rise in the state pension next April under the "triple lock".
Ministers will make the most of this during the Commons debate on the decision in the afternoon. The government won't lose the vote, but the number of Labour abstentions will be watched closely.
Bad timing: the early release scheme to ease the pressures on jails in England and Wales will begin, as Shabana Mahmood, the justice secretary, answers Commons questions at 11.30am. There will also be a debate on a Conservative opposition motion.
Keir Starmer will address the Trades Union Congress – the first prime minister to do so for 15 years.
The five remaining contenders for the Tory leadership will be a whittled down to four in the latest ballot of Tory MPs.
Antony Blinken, the US secretary of state, will be in London for talks with David Lammy, the foreign secretary.
Tim Davie, the BBC director-general, will be quizzed by the Lords communications committee about the corporation's future and the
Huw Edwards affair, at 2.30pm.
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