Hey there, Nil!
Markets look ready to serve up another helping of gains on Friday, as investors are chewing on signs that China and the U.S. could reopen their trade talk menu rather than focusing on the slightly undercooked Big Tech earnings from Apple and Amazon. Let's dig into today's financial buffet! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- Australia's prime minister and opposition are making their final election pitch with Trump's policies as a backdrop
- German spy agency adds spice to European politics, labeling far-right AfD "extremist"
- Hong Kong police arrest the father and brother of wanted activist Anna Kwok
- Trump meets with Polish nationalist candidate ahead of presidential election
- Iran must abandon all uranium enrichment, according to Rubio
- Israel attacks target near Syrian presidential palace, Netanyahu confirms
- Taiwan is preparing to mark World War Two end in a historical narrative contest with China
- US minerals deal expected to strengthen Trump's position in Russia talks
- Activist aid ship reportedly hit by drones en route to Gaza, NGO reports
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Chef's Pick: Networking Growth Recipe |
Stock of Interest this Week: (NYSE: MA) |
(NYSE: MA) Mastercard reported strong Q1 2025 results with 17% net revenue growth and 13% adjusted net income growth. The company advanced in digital payments, AI partnerships, and crypto integration. Operating income rose 19%, with EPS at $3.73, aided by $2.5B in share buybacks. Analysts were optimistic, though expense timing and macro risks remain watchpoints. (Price at call: $533.48, Current price: $548.10, Analyst expectation: $580) |
Stock of Interest Yesterday |
(NYSE: TSM) Taiwan Semiconductor posted a 35.3% sales jump to $25.53B, fueled by AI demand and strong 3nm chip adoption. With over 59% gross margin and a solid $72B cash cushion, TSMC shows both pricing power and financial strength despite market volatility. (Price at call: $171.5, Current price: $177.87, Analyst expectation long term: $250) |
Arista Networks (ANET) Arista Networks presents a mouth-watering investment opportunity with its strong product portfolio and market position. This networking equipment provider offers best-in-class profit margins and consistent revenue growth that could serve up hearty shareholder returns, despite some risks from customer concentration. Currently trading below historical multiples, ANET's valuation looks like a dish priced below its true value. Analysts see a clear path to $100 per share by this time next year and are upgrading it to a 'Buy' rating. (Current price: $88.95, Analyst expectation: $100) |
China Trade Talk Strategy: With Beijing "currently evaluating" U.S. tariff talk proposals, position in companies less exposed to tariffs while maintaining exposure to those that would benefit from improved relations. Note China insists the U.S. must "correct its wrong unilateral tariff measures" to show sincerity. Tech Earnings Defensive Mix: Big tech served a mixed platter this season. Focus on companies like Microsoft that delivered strong results while being selective with names like Apple, facing $900M in tariff costs. Watch for companies shifting supply chains from China to mitigate tariff impacts. Market Rotation Preparation: With BofA reporting $8.9B outflows from U.S. stocks while Japan and European markets see inflows, consider international diversification. For every $100 inflow to U.S. stocks since the 2024 election, there's been a $5 outflow in the past three weeks. Jobs Report Response Plan: Today's employment data will reveal if Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs are already affecting hiring patterns. Kathleen Brooks of XTB notes concerns about narrowing job creation as sectors scale back due to tariff-related uncertainty. Prepare positioning adjustments based on results. Global Food Inflation Hedge: With global food prices hitting two-year highs in April (UN index up 1% month-on-month to 128.3), consider exposure to companies with pricing power that can pass through higher costs. Currency fluctuations and tariff policy adjustments are raising market uncertainty. |
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The $1.3T ad industry is broken. RAD Intel is fixing it with 1600% growth as proof. |
While most AI startups burn cash and chase headlines, RAD Intel is quietly doing the one thing that matters — delivering results. They're also landing Fortune 1000 brands like Hasbro, Skechers, Sweetgreen, and MGM. RAD's AI doesn't just optimize content; it predicts what will perform and tells brands why… all while delivering up to 3.5x better campaign results, while others are stuck guessing. RAD Intel's growth tells the story: - 1600% valuation increase in under 4 years
- 20% share price growth since December
- $37M+ raised from 6,000+ investors
- Backing from Adobe, Fidelity Ventures, and tech leaders from Google, Meta, and Amazon
This isn't another AI startup promising the future. RAD is already closing major brand wins today. Pre-IPO. $0.60/share. Invest by May 8. 👉 Invest in RAD Intel* |
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All eyes are on today's main course - the April nonfarm payrolls report scheduled for 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. - USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (forecast: 0.3%)
- USD Non-Farm Employment Change: 138K (forecast: 228K)
- USD Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (forecast: 4.2%)
- USD Factory Orders m/m
Today's earnings menu features these corporate financial reports: - Exxon Mobil (XOM)
- Chevron
- DuPont
- Eaton
- Cigna
- Apollo Global Management
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Tesla's European Sales Plunge: Tesla sales dropped dramatically in April across Europe - down 80.7% in Sweden, 67.2% in Denmark, and 59.4% in France (fourth straight month of decline). Europeans are increasingly purchasing Chinese EVs, with some also protesting Musk's political views. Apple Warns of Tariff Costs: Apple stock slipped after warning of $900 million in tariff-related costs for the current quarter. CEO Cook declined to project impacts beyond June, noting most iPhones shipped to the U.S. during fiscal Q3 will come from India and Vietnam to mitigate China tariffs. Amazon Guidance Disappoints: Despite beating Q1 expectations, Amazon shares fell on light Q2 operating income guidance of $13B-$17.5B versus $17.8B consensus. CEO Jassy said there's been no significant tariff impact on demand or pricing yet, though that could change. Investors Shift from U.S. to International Markets: BofA reports $8.9B outflow from U.S. equities in the week ending Wednesday, with money flowing to Japanese and European shares instead. For every $100 invested in U.S. stocks since the 2024 election, $5 has exited in the past three weeks. Global Food Prices Hit Two-Year High: UN index tracking food commodity costs jumped 1% month-on-month to 128.3 in April, reaching levels last seen in March 2023. "Currency fluctuations influenced price movements in world markets, while tariff policy adjustments raised market uncertainty," according to the Food and Agriculture Organization. Asia Manufacturing Contracts: Factory activity across most of Asia contracted in April as companies struggle with weaker demand amid Trump's baseline 10% tariff. PMIs for South Korea and Taiwan slipped sharply with declining new orders and production cutbacks. Only India showed expansion. Japan-US Trade Talks Accelerating: Japan aims to reach a trade agreement with the U.S. by June, with discussions expected to gain momentum mid-May according to Tokyo's chief negotiator after concluding talks in Washington. Trump Cuts Public Broadcasting Funding: The President signed an executive order slashing subsidies for NPR and PBS, alleging "bias" in reporting. The order stops all federal financial support for these broadcasters, which typically receive about $535M annually through the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. China Evaluating U.S. Trade Proposals: China confirmed U.S. officials have reached out "through relevant parties multiple times" seeking tariff negotiations. Beijing emphasized that Washington must demonstrate sincerity by correcting "wrong unilateral tariff measures" before meaningful dialogue can begin. |
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The Science City You Didn't Know You Needed to Visit |
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Apple (AAPL ⬇️ 2.7%): Beat fiscal Q2 expectations with EPS of $1.65 vs. $1.62 forecast and revenue of $95.36B (up 5%). iPhone revenue of $46.84B topped forecasts, but China revenue of $16B missed the $17B consensus. Announced $100B share buyback and 4% dividend increase. Amazon (AMZN ⬇️ 1.7%): Q1 results topped estimates with EPS of $1.59 on revenue of $155.7B, but AWS revenue of $29.3B slightly missed $29.4B expectations. Q2 guidance of $159B-$164B in line with consensus, but operating income forecast of $13B-$17.5B below $17.62B expectations. Block (XYZ ⬇️ 22%): Missed Q1 earnings expectations due to weaker Cash App Card spending. Lowered 2025 guidance to $9.96B gross profit from prior $10.22B forecast. Projects Q2 gross profit of $2.45B vs. $2.54B consensus but expects acceleration from Q3 onward. Reddit (RDDT ⬆️ 5.7%): Served up impressive Q1 with EPS of $0.13 vs. $0.02 expected and revenue of $392.4M, beating $369.5M forecast. Daily active users rose 31% to 108.1M, above 107.3M estimate. Q2 guidance: $410M-$430M revenue, reflecting 46%-53% growth. Roku (ROKU ⬇️ 5.8%): Reported 16% revenue growth to $1.02B, beating estimates of $1.01B, but cut full-year forecast to $4.55B from $4.61B, citing economic uncertainty and tariff pressures. Q2 revenue outlook of $1.09B below analyst expectations. Acquiring Frndly TV for $185M. Airbnb (ABNB ⬇️ 4.5%): Q1 results in line with forecasts but warned of "moderating" nights booked in Q2 versus Q1. Noted "relatively softer results" in the U.S. driven by "broader economic uncertainties." Atlassian (TEAM ⬇️ 16%): Software maker beat fiscal Q3 forecasts but Q4 guidance missed expectations. MicroStrategy (MSTR ⬆️ 1.3%): Reported Q1 loss of $16.49/share, wider than the prior year's $0.31 loss. Recorded $5.9B unrealized fair value loss on digital assets. Shell (SHEL ⬆️ 3.4%): Beat Q1 earnings despite lower crude prices. Announced $3.5B stock buyback program. |
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ETF Gainers: - Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF (⬆️ 19.52%, vol: 996.8K)
- GraniteShares 2x Long VRT Daily ETF (⬆️ 17.05%, vol: 54.3K)
- Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (⬆️ 15.90%, vol: 2.3M)
- T-Rex 2X Long Microsoft Daily ETF (⬆️ 15.70%, vol: 130.3K)
- GraniteShares 2x Long MSFT Daily ETF (⬆️ 15.08%, vol: 573.0K)
ETF Losers: - Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF (⬇️ 23.16%, vol: 1.5M)
- Direxion Daily LLY Bull 2X Shares (⬇️ 23.00%, vol: 127.3K)
- GraniteShares 2x Long QCOM Daily ETF (⬇️ 17.74%, vol: 365.7K)
- MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETN (⬇️ 11.60%, vol: 815.1K)
- Leverage Shares 2X Long HOOD Daily ETF (⬇️ 11.54%, vol: 301.6K)
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - Stock Futures Jump as China Gives Hope on U.S. Trade Talks, Job Numbers Loom — Barron's
- U.S. Tech Futures Rise Despite Apple, Amazon Caution on Tariffs — Barron's
- U.S. Likely Has No Leverage Over China on Tariff Talks, Jefferies Says — Barron's
- Australia's Prime Minister, Opposition Make Final Election Pitch in Trump's Shadow — Reuters
- German Spy Agency Ranks Far-Right AfD as Extremist — Reuters
- Hong Kong Police Arrest Father, Brother of Wanted Activist Anna Kwok — Reuters
- Trump Meets Polish Nationalist Candidate Ahead of Presidential Election — Reuters
- Iran Must Walk Away from All Uranium Enrichment, Rubio Says — Reuters
- Taiwan to Mark World War Two's End in History Narrative Battle with China — Reuters
- Ship Carrying Activists, Aid for Gaza Attacked by Drones, NGO Says — Reuters
- Tesla's Sales in Key European Markets Drop — Yahoo Finance
- Apple Stock Slips After Company Warns of $900 Million Tariff Headwind — Yahoo Finance
- Amazon Beats on Q1 Earnings, but Light Q2 Guidance Sends Stock Sliding — Yahoo Finance
- Investors Sell U.S. Shares as Tariff Fears Linger — Yahoo Finance
- Tariff Uncertainty Drives Global Food Supply Concerns — Yahoo Finance
- Asia Factories Suffer Major Blow Amid Trade Disruption — Yahoo Finance
- Japan Sees Trade Talks Speeding Up with the U.S. — Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Movers to Watch — Barron's
- Biggest Stock Movers Friday: AMZN, AAPL, RDDT and More — Seeking Alpha
- China Says It's Assessing U.S. Initiative on Trade Talks — Seeking Alpha
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Want to snag a $50 gift card? It's easy! Just open 5 Market Munchies emails by Friday, May 2 to enter. 📨 Entries close at 11:59 PM sharp, so don't miss out! The lucky winner will be randomly selected and notified via email with their prize.
Good luck! |
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* This is a paid advertisement for RAD Intel made pursuant to Regulation A offering and involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The valuation is set by the Company. Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.radintel.ai. *** When you buy through this link, Mode may earn a commission. |
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