Quit Thinking Like an Investor
Over the years, I’ve implored my readers to stop thinking like an investor…. and start thinking like a trader.
I recently told you that thinking like a trader will not only dramatically improve your returns, but it will also free you from the never-ending spin cycle of the financial media, bogus Wall Street analysis, and foggy economic prognostications that never seem to come true.
This is the philosophy I used to build my long-term position in Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) over the last several years. It’s now the largest position in my portfolio — and I don’t think it’s anywhere near its peak!
Successful traders must recognize that the market moves in distinct, almost predictable patterns. Even if you love a stock's fundamentals and business prospects, you must optimize your buys to alleviate stress and achieve maximum gains.
That’s why I lean on my trading philosophy when I find a company I believe is ready to cross the threshold into world-beating status.
This company in question is Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER).
I don’t have to tell you what Uber does. But I’ve been chirping about the stock for a while and have had it on the back burner as a potential addition to my concentrated portfolio of longer-term bets.
As I’ve discussed with Enrique on Top Trades Live, it’s the ultimate TAM (total addressable market) play. The market for Uber is huge and will only become more important as the idea of self-driving technology reaches fever pitch.
Buying Your Next Big Winner
I’ve recently started to build my Uber position (a little later than I expected!). I achieved this by purchasing half of the total amount of shares I ultimately want to own, which is the first key to this longer-term strategy.
Some investors frown on this behavior. If you want to buy a stock, get in now! This works for most. But when I start a position, I often aim to optimize emotional stability. I don’t want to get shaken out on an unexpected drop. By starting off small with plans to add later, I can set a wider stop loss and avoid getting stuck in an emotional decision.
UBER took a break from its 2023 rally last year and traded in a wide range. This is when I was spending a lot of time watching and waiting. I was looking for signs that the stock was regaining the strength it had displayed during the early days of the bull market.
After dancing above and below its flat 200-day moving average multiple times, I finally saw something interesting:
During the tariff panic, UBER shares never fell below their December 2024 lows. Not even close!
Then, when the stock started to rally with the broad market, it began to outperform the averages.
This relative strength continued through the 200-day moving average to the February pivot highs. This level also coincides with the early 2024 highs, marking an important psychological area for the stock.
This is where I bought: right near $83.
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