The (third) interception from hell

December 30th, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top Stories MVP Fumble Odds for this season's NFL MVP flipped last night following a disasterous three-interception game thrown by the Rams' Matthew Stafford against Atlanta. Stafford had been leading in the MVP odds since mid-November until Monday night's debacle. Read more → Pelosi Mogs MTG? NEW: You can now forecast which politicians will out-trade the market using their deep fundamental research and uncanny timing. First up: Marjorie Taylor Greene's portfolio of tech giants and logistics plays like NVDA, AMZN, and UPS versus Nancy Pelosi's AI picks-and-shovels basket including VST, AVGO, and PANW. Check odds → 🔮 Just Call Them From The Oracle: Hedge fund manager Chris DeMuth Jr. has made a career finding edge in unusual ways. From paying homeless people to stake out government offices, to cold-calling Larry Ellison and listening for keyboard clicks to gauge deal momentum. In this interview, he reveals his playbook for developing human sources and why the signed Netflix-Warner deal is less ironclad than it seems. Read More → ​ Breaking News Odds Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31? View market → 2% -78% Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? View market → 16% -30% Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? View market → 63% +21% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31? 10h Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...? 10h Nothing Ever Happens: December 10h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31? 15h ago Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31? 15h ago Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? 17h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? $19.66M Fed decision in January? $6.27M 2026 NBA Champion $3.01M Super Bowl Champion 2026 $1.72M Highest grossing movie in 2025? $1.71M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 NBA Champion 182d Super Bowl Champion 2026 39d Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC 6h 76ers vs. Grizzlies 11h Pistons vs. Lakers 13h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "Yes" Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $598.0K bobe2 "Yes" Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? $411.4K testfinney "No" Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? $374.9K LucasMeow See all Whale Moves → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.