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A Big Swing After Blowout Earnings for a Fellow Tech Titan
One of the biggest players in the AI space right now is Google parent company Alphabet (GOOGL)...
On Wednesday after the market close, Alphabet reported fourth-quarter and full-year earnings. And the company saw incredible growth in multiple categories during 2025...
Total revenue for 2025 grew 15% year over year to more than $400 billion.
In the fourth quarter alone, revenues at Alphabet's Google Cloud segment grew 48% year over year. And the company's "Google Search and other" business category saw year-over-year revenue growth of 17%.
This drove Alphabet's first year with more than $400 billion in revenue. Naturally, CEO Sundar Pichai attributed this performance to the company's AI progress.
Alphabet also said that it anticipates up to $185 billion in capital expenditures in 2026. These investments would mostly support Google's AI projects.
That's an eye-popping figure...
Heck, aside from the U.S. and China, that amount is more than any other country in the world spent on its entire military in 2024.
In short, Alphabet is "all in" on spending in order to keep a lead in the AI race. Meanwhile, the growing revenue should have been a positive sign...
But shareholders didn't take to the idea right away. Before the markets even opened the next day, Alphabet's stock collapsed by about 4% during premarket trading. The stock ended up with a loss of less than 1% yesterday.
As I said, we also saw large moves in the wake of earnings from other big names in the AI space...
Two More Dramatic Swings
"AI darling" Palantir Technologies (PLTR) struggled with this trend as well...
On Monday, the company reported massive revenue growth of 70% year over year for the fourth quarter.
Initially, the stock surged. PLTR shares jumped about 7% the day after the earnings release. But the next day, the same shares gave that entire gain back... and then some.
On Wednesday, Palantir collapsed by about 12%. By now, the stock is down about 31% over the past three months.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) – one of Nvidia's major competitors in the semiconductor industry – saw a huge loss in the wake of recent earnings as well...
On Tuesday, AMD reported a 34% year-over-year jump in revenue for 2025. And the stock fell by roughly 17% the next day.
Over the past three months, AMD is now down by about 25%.
The Power Gauge Flashes Some Warnings for Nvidia
To make matters worse for Nvidia, the "smart money" on Wall Street has been on the run from the stock since early January. And the stock had already started to underperform the broad market in late November.
The Power Gauge picked up on this. And our system has also flashed four separate sell alerts for the stock over the past three months.
Take a look...
Today, Nvidia earns a "neutral+" rating in the Power Gauge. This happens when a "bullish" or better stock is trading below its long-term trend line.
To be clear, I'm not saying to dump shares of Nvidia before the company reports earnings. And keep in mind that if the share price spikes, it could send Nvidia back into outright "bullish" territory.
But right now, the Power Gauge is picking up on some warning signs for the stock.
And based on what we've already seen from other big names in the AI space, don't be surprised to see big volatility after Nvidia reports earnings later this month.
Good investing,
Ethan Goldman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-1.18%
8
19
3
S&P 500
-1.25%
119
282
98
Nasdaq
-1.44%
26
51
28
Small Caps
-1.8%
607
945
335
Bonds
+1.09%
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Consumer Staples
+5.83%
Energy
+3.37%
Industrials
+1.51%
Materials
+1.0%
Health Care
+0.66%
Real Estate
-0.34%
Financial
-0.49%
Utilities
-0.53%
Communication
-2.99%
Consumer Discretionary
-3.04%
Information Technology
-7.65%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Oil & Gas Equipment Services
21
9
0
Over the past 6 months, the Oil & Gas Equipment Services subsector (XES) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +42.21%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #2 of 21 subsectors.
Top Stocks
HLX
Helix Energy Solutio
HAL
Halliburton Company
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
MCK
+16.52%
CPAY
+11.56%
TPR
+10.21%
CAH
+9.83%
HSY
+9.03%
Losers
EL
-19.19%
COIN
-13.34%
ARES
-11.19%
CMI
-10.73%
IQV
-10.65%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
EQR Equity Residential
Q4
$0.28
Missed by $-0.10
HSY The Hershey Company
Q4
$1.71
Beat by $0.31
TPR Tapestry, Inc.
Q2
$2.69
Beat by $0.46
XPO XPO, Inc.
Q4
$0.88
Beat by $0.12
CMI Cummins Inc.
Q4
$5.81
Beat by $0.73
* * * *
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