1 Chart I'm Watching for the SPX Breakout Signal

How SPY absorbed extreme rotation without the correction everyone expected

🚨 I’ll be live at 10 a.m. ET with Graham Lindman🚨 The next round of Graham's weekly gold trade begins today, Friday Focus and more [tap to join us for Opening Playbook] 1 Chart I'm Watching for the SPX Breakout Signal Ever notice how the market sometimes just refuses to cooperate? Since Feb. 1, I've been tracking the same S&P 500 ETF (SPX) range trade. At this point, it's become a Closing Playbook tradition — I pull up the same chart every single day… And there it sits. The same stubborn box that won't go away. But here's what most people aren't seeing: The amount of rotation happening inside this range is wild. Normally, when you see the kind of money flowing into Industrials (XLI), Energy (XLE) and Utilities (XLU) like we've seen lately, you'd expect a 5-8% correction.  Massive sector shifts usually translate into volatility and a pullback. Yet somehow, the market’s held steady without giving traders the usual downside shock. Part of that resilience comes from something we've seen many times before… When the market absorbs turbulence this well, even a small spark of tech leadership can flip the entire tone. Technology (XLK) has a long history of stepping in during uncertain stretches and stabilizing broader indexes. A little participation from the sector that typically drives long-term momentum can go a long way toward tilting the balance. And right now, that's the wildcard that could be hiding in plain sight. Just a little optimism and a little tech engagement might be enough to push SPX above 7,000. For a market handling this much rotation, that possibility isn't far-fetched. My Reaction When the Headlines Hit When the latest round of weekend headlines dropped, my first instinct wasn't panic. It was to look for how the parts of the market that trade around the clock were responding. Bitcoin didn't budge. That alone made me think sentiment wasn't nearly as fearful as the headlines suggested. Then Monday came with a flush and aggressive dip buying. Tuesday delivered another flush with the same aggressive dip buying. Then we got follow-through. That kind of behavior doesn't typically line up with a market on the verge of falling apart. It reminded me of how markets historically behave during geopolitical shocks. When tensions flare — especially in regions that influence energy, currency and safe-haven flows — you often see four major markets react at once: equities, oil, bonds and gold. The initial burst of volatility usually settles quickly as investors reassess what matters and what doesn't. This time, the pattern played out again. A fast hit, rapid recalibration and a return to focusing on what the market structure was already telling us. On Monday, I said we were 50-50 on breaking down or staying in the range. And honestly, that's still pretty much where I am. But that balance is shifting and the market is proving it can take a punch. What I'm Actually Watching There are a million headlines trying to pull attention in every direction right now. But I'm keeping it simple: All I care about is the range. This single box on my chart has become the anchor for everything. If we break above 7,000, that's the moment where structure meets momentum — where the resilience we've been seeing finally converts into bullish continuation. Until then, I'm ignoring the noise. Because if the market can take geopolitical tension, aggressive sector rotation and a complete shift in leadership without breaking down, that's a signal. It means underlying strength is already there, waiting for a catalyst. And if Technology provides even a small boost — the kind we've seen lift markets out of uncertainty many times before — that breakout becomes far more likely. So yeah, I'll keep pulling up that same chart every day. And I'll keep watching that same stubborn box. Because when it finally breaks, the real move begins. Now don’t forget to join us at 10 a.m. ET weekdays for Opening Playbook, and at 3:30 p.m. ET Closing Playbook! _________________________________________________ You Don't Have to Trade Higher Than Your Risk Level There are three brand-new income trade setups available for you to take right now.  But unlike what you might be used to... These ones give you the chance to decide what your risk appetite is and go for entries that fit your level.   This means, whether you're a conservative, balanced, or aggressive trader, you can get in on these three new setups, courtesy of the Income Machine. This one-of-a-kind trading engine: ✅ Identifies the strongest income setups for you. ✅ Breaks them down into trade ideas for your trading style or risk level. ✅ Shows you the expected income potential for your preferred trade and the historical calculated odds of success. Granted, I can't make reckless guarantees on the market here... But you can decide to go for one or all three of the income setups waiting for you. Plus, I'll also hand you free access to the Income Machine itself right now…   The Details Are Right Here Nate Tucci Tucci Trades You can also follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more in my official Telegram channel! Important Note: No one from the New Money Crew team or Tucci Trades will ever contact you directly on Telegram.  *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.

🚨 I’ll be live at 10 a.m. ET with Graham Lindman🚨   The next round of Graham's weekly gold trade begins today, Friday Focus and more [tap to join us for Opening Playbook] 1 Chart I'm Watching for the SPX Breakout Signal   Ever notice how the market sometimes just refuses to cooperate?   Since Feb. 1, I've been tracking the same S&P 500 ETF (SPX) range trade. At this point, it's become a Closing Playbook tradition — I pull up the same chart every single day…   And there it sits.   The same stubborn box that won't go away. But here's what most people aren't seeing: The amount of rotation happening inside this range is wild.   Normally, when you see the kind of money flowing into Industrials (XLI), Energy (XLE) and Utilities (XLU) like we've seen lately, you'd expect a 5-8% correction.    Massive sector shifts usually translate into volatility and a pullback.   Yet somehow, the market’s held steady without giving traders the usual downside shock. Part of that resilience comes from something we've seen many times before…   When the market absorbs turbulence this well, even a small spark of tech leadership can flip the entire tone.   Technology (XLK) has a long history of stepping in during uncertain stretches and stabilizing broader indexes. A little participation from the sector that typically drives long-term momentum can go a long way toward tilting the balance.   And right now, that's the wildcard that could be hiding in plain sight. Just a little optimism and a little tech engagement might be enough to push SPX above 7,000.   For a market handling this much rotation, that possibility isn't far-fetched.   My Reaction When the Headlines Hit   When the latest round of weekend headlines dropped, my first instinct wasn't panic. It was to look for how the parts of the market that trade around the clock were responding.   Bitcoin didn't budge. That alone made me think sentiment wasn't nearly as fearful as the headlines suggested.   Then Monday came with a flush and aggressive dip buying. Tuesday delivered another flush with the same aggressive dip buying. Then we got follow-through.   That kind of behavior doesn't typically line up with a market on the verge of falling apart. It reminded me of how markets historically behave during geopolitical shocks.   When tensions flare — especially in regions that influence energy, currency and safe-haven flows — you often see four major markets react at once: equities, oil, bonds and gold.   The initial burst of volatility usually settles quickly as investors reassess what matters and what doesn't. This time, the pattern played out again.   A fast hit, rapid recalibration and a return to focusing on what the market structure was already telling us. On Monday, I said we were 50-50 on breaking down or staying in the range.   And honestly, that's still pretty much where I am. But that balance is shifting and the market is proving it can take a punch.   What I'm Actually Watching   There are a million headlines trying to pull attention in every direction right now. But I'm keeping it simple: All I care about is the range.   This single box on my chart has become the anchor for everything. If we break above 7,000, that's the moment where structure meets momentum — where the resilience we've been seeing finally converts into bullish continuation.   Until then, I'm ignoring the noise. Because if the market can take geopolitical tension, aggressive sector rotation and a complete shift in leadership without breaking down, that's a signal.   It means underlying strength is already there, waiting for a catalyst. And if Technology provides even a small boost — the kind we've seen lift markets out of uncertainty many times before — that breakout becomes far more likely.   So yeah, I'll keep pulling up that same chart every day. And I'll keep watching that same stubborn box.   Because when it finally breaks, the real move begins.   Now don’t forget to join us at 10 a.m. ET weekdays for Opening Playbook, and at 3:30 p.m. ET Closing Playbook! _________________________________________________ You Don't Have to Trade Higher Than Your Risk Level   There are three brand-new income trade setups available for you to take right now.    But unlike what you might be used to...   These ones give you the chance to decide what your risk appetite is and go for entries that fit your level.   This means, whether you're a conservative, balanced, or aggressive trader, you can get in on these three new setups, courtesy of the Income Machine.   This one-of-a-kind trading engine:   ✅ Identifies the strongest income setups for you. ✅ Breaks them down into trade ideas for your trading style or risk level. ✅ Shows you the expected income potential for your preferred trade and the historical calculated odds of success.   Granted, I can't make reckless guarantees on the market here...   But you can decide to go for one or all three of the income setups waiting for you.   Plus, I'll also hand you free access to the Income Machine itself right now…   The Details Are Right Here Nate Tucci Tucci Trades   You can also follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more in my official Telegram channel!   Important Note: No one from the New Money Crew team or Tucci Trades will ever contact you directly on Telegram.    *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Nate Tucci Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Nate Tucci Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Nate Tucci Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Nate Tucci Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to ignoble.experiment@arconati.us by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Nate Tucci Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Nate Tucci Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Nate Tucci Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Nate Tucci Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to ignoble.experiment@arconati.us by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub