Nature Climate Change Contents: February 2017 Volume 7 Number 2 pp 87-159

If you are unable to see the message below, click here to view.

Advertisement Open for Submissions A new open access, multi-and interdisciplinary journal dedicated to publishing the finest research on both microbial biofilms and microbiomes, the journal is now open for submissions. Explore the benefits of submitting your next research article. TABLE OF CONTENTS February 2017 Volume 7, Issue 2 Editorial Commentaries Feature Research Highlights News and Views Perspective Review Letters Article Corrigendum Addendum Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter     Editorial Top Keeping it clean p87 doi:10.1038/nclimate3221 Negative emissions are necessary to meet ambitious climate targets, but in order to achieve these we need both technological advances and an economic environment that promotes such activity. Commentaries Top Climate research must sharpen its view pp89 - 91 Jochem Marotzke, Christian Jakob, Sandrine Bony, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Paul A. O'Gorman, Ed Hawkins, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Corinne Le Quéré, Sophie Nowicki, Katsia Paulavets, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Bjorn Stevens and Matthias Tuma doi:10.1038/nclimate3206 Human activity is changing Earth's climate. Now that this has been acknowledged and accepted in international negotiations, climate research needs to define its next frontiers. Delays in US mitigation could rule out Paris targets pp92 - 94 Benjamin M. Sanderson and Reto Knutti doi:10.1038/nclimate3193 Political upsets could stall coordinated international mitigation action, but emissions and investments over the next few years will have long-term consequences. Any delays to mitigation or cuts to renewable energy research by the US will likely render the 2 °C target unachievable if a global precedent is set. Feature Top Snapshot: Extreme Arctic heat p95 Graham Simpkins doi:10.1038/nclimate3213 Research Highlights Top Ecological resilience: Drought sensitivity | Sociology: Public inaction | Hydroclimate: Stronger atmospheric fronts | Climate vulnerability: Drivers of migration News and Views Top Climate adaptation: Holistic thinking beyond technology pp97 - 98 Emily Boyd doi:10.1038/nclimate3211 The countries most vulnerable to climate change impacts are among the poorest in the world. A recent evaluation of Least Developed Countries Fund projects suggests that adaptation efforts must move beyond technological solutions. Mitigation technology: Half full or nearly empty? pp98 - 99 Christopher Green doi:10.1038/nclimate3205 Tracking progress toward the Paris 2015 goal is critical to the terms of the agreement. A new analysis shows how various drivers influence CO2 emissions, and indicates that more technological advancements are needed to make deep cuts in global emissions. See also: Letter by Glen P. Peters et al. Emission scenarios: Explaining differences pp99 - 100 Gokul Iyer and James Edmonds doi:10.1038/nclimate3200 Carbon dioxide emission scenarios rely on a number of assumptions about how societies will develop in the future, creating uncertainty in projections. Now, research reveals the sensitivity of emission estimates to some of these assumptions. See also: Letter by G. Marangoni et al. CO2 fertilization: Average is best pp101 - 102 Robert S. Nowak doi:10.1038/nclimate3212 Increased atmospheric CO2 enhances grassland biomass production under average conditions, but contrary to earlier predictions the effect declines when it gets wetter, drier, or hotter. See also: Letter by W. A. Obermeier et al. Nature Climate Change JOBS of the week Principal investigators position openings from Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (QNLM) Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (QNLM) Assistant Professor in Physical and Environmental Chemistry University of California San Diego Postdoctoral Researchers in River Connectivity Ecology and Aquatic-Terrestrial Linkages Karlstad University Research Fellow in Oceanography Nanyang Technological University, The Asian School of the Environment More Science jobs from Nature Climate Change EVENT Lost and Future Worlds: Marine Palaeolandscapes and the Historic Impact of Long-Term Climate Change 15.05.17 Buckinghamshire, UK More science events from Perspective Top Advancing Australia's role in climate change and health research pp103 - 106 Donna Green, Andrew Pitman, Adrian Barnett, John Kaldor, Peter Doherty and Fiona Stanley doi:10.1038/nclimate3182 Australia allocates less than 0.1% of health funding to research on health and climate change. This Perspective highlights the country's strength in the individual disciplines of climate science and health research and calls for bringing these areas together. Review Top A third option for climate policy within potential limits to growth pp107 - 112 Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh doi:10.1038/nclimate3113 Forty-five years after it was first proposed, climate change has revived debates around the concept of limits to growth. This Review reflects on economic perspectives on limits to growth, and proposes a third option to reduce resistance to climate policies. Letters Top Sensitivity of projected long-term CO2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways pp113 - 117 G. Marangoni, M. Tavoni, V. Bosetti, E. Borgonovo, P. Capros, O. Fricko, D. E. H. J. Gernaat, C. Guivarch, P. Havlik, D. Huppmann, N. Johnson, P. Karkatsoulis, I. Keppo, V. Krey, E. Ó Broin, J. Price and D. P. van Vuuren doi:10.1038/nclimate3199 Socioeconomic scenarios of climate change contain a number of assumptions, which lead to uncertainty in projections. Emission estimates in the scenarios are found to be most sensitive for assumptions about energy intensity and economic growth. See also: News and Views by Gokul Iyer et al. Key indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement pp118 - 122 Glen P. Peters, Robbie M. Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Sabine Fuss, Robert B. Jackson, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Corinne Le Quéré and Nebojsa Nakicenovic doi:10.1038/nclimate3202 This paper presents interrelated indicators for tracking progress towards the Paris Agreement. Findings show broad consistency with keeping warming below 2 °C, but technological advances are needed to achieve net-zero emissions. See also: News and Views by Christopher Green Projected increase in El Niño-driven tropical cyclone frequency in the Pacific pp123 - 127 Savin S. Chand, Kevin J. Tory, Hua Ye and Kevin J. E. Walsh doi:10.1038/nclimate3181 The El Niño/Southern Oscillation influences tropical cyclone variability. Under climate change, cyclones around Pacific island nations are projected to increase in frequency during El Niño events and decrease during La Niña events. Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates pp128 - 132 Jiawei Bao, Steven C. Sherwood, Lisa V. Alexander and Jason P. Evans doi:10.1038/nclimate3201 Extreme rainfall is predicted to increase with warming; however observations show differing rates of change. This study shows rainfall-associated cooling reduces the observed scaling rate. Projections show increased scaling rates in the future particularly for the strongest extremes. Impacts of changing rainfall regime on the demography of tropical birds pp133 - 136 Jeffrey D. Brawn, Thomas J. Benson, Maria Stager, Nicholas D. Sly and Corey E. Tarwater doi:10.1038/nclimate3183 Increasing dry season length in central Panama reduced population growth rates and viability in nearly one-third of the 20 tropical bird species investigated. Such changes are projected to alter tropical bird community structure in protected areas. Reduced CO2 fertilization effect in temperate C3 grasslands under more extreme weather conditions pp137 - 141 W. A. Obermeier, L. W. Lehnert, C. I. Kammann, C. Müller, L. Grünhage, J. Luterbacher, M. Erbs, G. Moser, R. Seibert, N. Yuan and J. Bendix doi:10.1038/nclimate3191 A temperate grassland experiment shows that CO2 fertilization increases above-ground biomass most strongly under local average environmental conditions, but the effect is reduced or disappears under wetter, drier and/or hotter conditions. See also: News and Views by Robert S. Nowak Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century pp142 - 147 Christopher A. Gabler, Michael J. Osland, James B. Grace, Camille L. Stagg, Richard H. Day, Stephen B. Hartley, Nicholas M. Enwright, Andrew S. From, Meagan L. McCoy and Jennie L. McLeod doi:10.1038/nclimate3203 Research into the impacts of climate change on coastal wetlands has tended to focus on sea-level rise. Now modelling of Gulf of Mexico wetland plant community responses to climate change projects transformative ecological changes this century. Article Top Accelerating net terrestrial carbon uptake during the warming hiatus due to reduced respiration pp148 - 152 Ashley Ballantyne, William Smith, William Anderegg, Pekka Kauppi, Jorge Sarmiento, Pieter Tans, Elena Shevliakova, Yude Pan, Benjamin Poulter, Alessandro Anav, Pierre Friedlingstein, Richard Houghton and Steven Running doi:10.1038/nclimate3204 Satellite and atmospheric observations show that the rate of net biome productivity has accelerated over the warming ‘hiatus’ period (1998–2012). This net gain results from reduced respiration, rather than increased primary productivity. Corrigendum Top Corrigendum: Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals p153 Yann Robiou du Pont, M. Louise Jeffery, Johannes Gütschow, Joeri Rogelj, Peter Christoff and Malte Meinshausen doi:10.1038/nclimate3210 Addendum Top Addendum: More extreme precipitation in the world's dry and wet regions pp154 - 158 Markus G. Donat, Andrew L. Lowry, Lisa V. Alexander, Paul A. O'Gorman and Nicola Maher doi:10.1038/nclimate3160 Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Research portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

You have been sent this Table of Contents Alert because you have opted in to receive it. You can change or discontinue your e-mail alerts at any time, by modifying your preferences on your nature.com account at: www.nature.com/myaccount (You will need to log in to be recognised as a nature.com registrant) For further technical assistance, please contact our registration department For print subscription enquiries, please contact our subscription department For other enquiries, please contact our customer feedback department Nature Research | One New York Plaza, Suite 4500 | New York | NY 10004-1562 | USA Nature Research's worldwide offices: London - Paris - Munich - New Delhi - Tokyo - Melbourne San Diego - San Francisco - Washington - New York - Boston Macmillan Publishers Limited is a company incorporated in England and Wales under company number 785998 and whose registered office is located at The Campus, 4 Crinan Street, London, N1 9XW. © 2017 Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.